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Home Spain La Liga Barcelona — Girona

Predictions Barcelona vs Girona October 18, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Barcelona
Barcelona
Home · last 5 W W L W L
Kick-off
Sat 18 Oct · 14:15
2:1
Full-time
Girona
Girona
L D D L D Away · last 5
Referee Jesus Gil Manzano, Spain
Home Win · BAR
82%
Best 1.22
Draw
13%
Best 7.30
Away Win · GIR
5%
Best 12.70
Value pick
Under 3.5
@ 2.31
Fair odds
2.07
book 2.31 · +11.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
3
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
p 48% · EV +11.8%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 3.5 is more likely (52%), but Under 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Draw
Probability 13.4%
Odds 8.82
Show model details
Implied probability 11.3%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win Top pick
Probability 82%
Odds 1.21
Show model details
Implied probability 82.6%
Bet quality Medium
Away Win
Probability 4.6%
Odds 16.00
Show model details
Implied probability 6.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 3.5
Probability 48.4%
Odds 2.31
Show model details
Implied probability 43.3%
Bet quality Medium
Under 2.5
Probability 26.8%
Odds 4.10
Show model details
Implied probability 24.4%
Bet quality Medium
Over 0.5 Top pick
Probability 97.5%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Medium
Under 0.5
Probability 2.5%
Odds 34.00
Show model details
Implied probability 2.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 89.5%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Medium
Under 1.5
Probability 10.5%
Odds 9.50
Show model details
Implied probability 10.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 73.2%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.4%
Bet quality Medium
Over 3.5
Probability 51.6%
Odds 1.72
Show model details
Implied probability 58.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Top pick
Probability 50.3%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes
Probability 49.7%
Odds 1.76
Show model details
Implied probability 56.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 82%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 4.6%
Odds 10.00
Show model details
Implied probability 10%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 18%
Odds 5.68
Show model details
Implied probability 17.6%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 95.4%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 3.5
BAR – GIR @ 2.31
+11.8%
Edge
Forecast →