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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Spain La Liga Girona — Valencia

Match Girona vs Valencia October 4, 2025

Spain   /   La Liga
Girona
Girona
Home · last 5 L D D L D
Kick-off
Sat 04 Oct · 14:15
2:1
Full-time
Valencia
Valencia
L W D W W Away · last 5
Estadio Municipal de Montilivi · Girona Referee Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos, Spain
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 43% · book 2.98
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 72% · book 1.58
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 55% · book 2.14
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
1.02 – 1.25
Δ −0.23
Possession
45% – 55%
AI accuracy
2 / 7
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Girona vs Valencia: the model tilts toward the visitors. Valencia rate stronger on overall form and structure, while Girona’s attack has struggled to sustain threat. Expect a controlled tempo with the away side better placed to edge the key moments.

Conservative angles test well: X2 and unders have support, with both teams scoring trending below a coin flip. Early goal timing is the key swing factor.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

GIR 3-4-3 · VAL 4-4-2
Subs used · GIR
23' Rincon ↑ · Frances
68' Stuani ↑ · Vanat
83' Kourouma ↑ · Asprilla
83' Gil ↑ · Portu
Subs used · VAL
6' Copete ↑ · Diakhaby
46' Guerra ↑ · Santamaria
72' Duro ↑ · Beltran
72' Ramazani ↑ · Correia
83' Raba ↑ · Lopez

📊 Statistics

GIR 21 VAL
45%
Possession (%)
55%
1.02
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.25
4
Total Shots
19
4
Shots on Target
6
0
Shots off Target
8
3
Shots Inside Box
9
0
Corner Kicks
7
5
Offsides
1
13
Fouls
12
82%
Pass Accuracy (%)
83%
5
Yellow Cards
1
5
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

20 · 2 – 1
Alejandro Francés
Red Card
-5'
6'
J. Copete ↓ · M. Diakhaby ↑
Substitution 1
V. Vanat
1–0
18'
H. Rincon ↓ · A. Frances ↑
Substitution 1
23'
Vitor Reis
Yellow Card
45+1'
Half-time · 1 – 0
46'
J. Guerra ↓ · B. Santamaria ↑
Substitution 2
55'
Luis Rioja
Yellow Card
Iván Martín
Yellow Card
57'
57'
D. Lopez
Assist · A. Danjuma · 1–1
A. Martinez
2–1
63'
C. Stuani ↓ · V. Vanat ↑
Substitution 2
68'
72'
H. Duro ↓ · L. Beltran ↑
Substitution 3
72'
L. Ramazani ↓ · T. Correia ↑
Substitution 4
Iván Martín
Yellow Card
80'
Iván Martín
Red Card
80'
Portu
Yellow Card
83'
L. Kourouma ↓ · Y. Asprilla ↑
Substitution 3
83'
B. Gil ↓ · Portu ↑
Substitution 4
83'
83'
D. Raba ↓ · D. Lopez ↑
Substitution 5
Arnau Martínez
Yellow Card
90+6'
Full-time · 2 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

7 · 2 W · 5 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 2.98 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.58 72% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.14 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.66 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.93 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.34 72% Cashed +0.34 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.45 57% Cashed +0.45 Cashed
Total · 7 markets @ 1u each 2 W · 5 L −4.21u −60% ROI