Getafe hosts Levante in a fixture where the home side shows a clear edge in recent form and overall solidity, especially at their stadium. Levante’s attacking threat is somewhat diminished by their defensive vulnerabilities and inconsistent away performances. The game is likely to be competitive but leans towards a home victory given Getafe’s better balance and home advantage. The model favors a moderately open game with a reasonable chance of goals, supporting the over 2.5 goals market. Double chance on Getafe or draw offers a safer alternative with good value. BTTS is plausible but less compelling than totals and match outcome bets.
Post-match · 90 sec read
⛀ Lineups
GET 5-3-2 · LEV 4-4-2📊 Statistics
GET 1 – 1 LEV53%
Possession (%)
47%
0.50
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
0.59
11
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
3
6
Shots off Target
6
3
Shots Inside Box
7
6
Corner Kicks
2
2
Offsides
2
14
Fouls
15
66%
Pass Accuracy (%)
59%
4
Yellow Cards
3
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3
⏱ Match events
19 · 1 – 1Djené
Yellow Card
9'
15'
▮
Manuel Sánchez
Yellow Card
26'
⚽
I. Romero
Assist · R. Brugue · 0–1
Domingos Duarte
Yellow Card
35'
C. da Costa ↓ · M. Martin ↑
Substitution 1
40'
Alex Sancris ↓ · Djene ↑
Substitution 2
40'
Abdelkabir Abqar
Yellow Card
41'
Half-time · 0 – 1
Kiko Femenia ↓ · D. Duarte ↑
Substitution 3
46'
J. Iglesias
Assist · A. Abqar · 1–1
57'
62'
⇄
P. Martinez ↓ · U. Vencedor ↑
Substitution 1
62'
⇄
O. Rey ↓ · K. Arriaga ↑
Substitution 2
74'
⇄
J. A. Olasagasti ↓ · C. Alvarez ↑
Substitution 3
75'
⇄
G. Koyalipou ↓ · R. Brugue ↑
Substitution 4
Y. Neyou ↓ · Javier Munoz ↑
Substitution 4
77'
A. Nyom ↓ · B. Mayoral ↑
Substitution 5
77'
79'
▮
Goduine Koyalipou
Yellow Card
Allan Nyom
Yellow Card
82'
85'
⇄
J. Morales ↓ · I. Romero ↑
Substitution 5
90+2'
▮
Etta Eyong
Yellow Card
Full-time · 1 – 1
Match recap
Getafe and Levante drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–1.
From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 2. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.
On the scoresheet: I. Romero (26'), J. Iglesias (57').
Model audit for this match: of 9 graded markets, 4 landed and 5 missed, for a net -0.99 units (Brier 0.220).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
9 · 4 W · 5 L| Market | Odds | Closed | AI | Result | P/L · 1u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 2.59 | — | 43% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| BTTS Yes | 2.20 | — | 55% | Cashed | +1.20 | Cashed |
| AH Home -0.5 | 2.04 | — | 48% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Home Team Total Over 0.5 | 1.30 | — | 70% | Cashed | +0.30 | Cashed |
| AH Home 0 | 1.42 | — | 65% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Double Chance 1X | 1.25 | — | 75% | Cashed | +0.25 | Cashed |
| Home Win | 2.07 | — | 49% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Draw | 3.26 | — | 27% | Cashed | +2.26 | Cashed |
| Away Win | 4.44 | — | 15% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Total · 9 markets @ 1u each | — | — | — | 4 W · 5 L | −0.99u | −11% ROI |