Getafe vs Alaves 1:1 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 2.41 — +6.0% better than the market.

Getafe's home form shows a solid defensive shape and a slightly better overall strength compared to Alaves, who have been more inconsistent away. Both teams have moderate attacking threat but tend to keep games relatively tight. The home side's recent form is slightly more positive, and their home advantage should play a role in controlling the match tempo. The model leans toward a competitive game with a moderate chance for goals, favoring a home win but keeping the draw well within reach. Totals markets suggest a balanced outlook with some value in under 2.5 goals and BTTS No, reflecting the defensive solidity and chance quality expected.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 2.41 ✗ Lost

AI 44% Implied 42% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

GET 4-5-1 · ALA 4-4-2

GET · 4-5-1 4-4-2 · ALA

9 Mayoral

Subs used · GET

46' Sancris ↑ ·

Kamara ↓

61'

Munoz ↑ ·

Martin ↓

79'

Davinchi ↑ ·

Rico ↓

83'

da Costa ↑ ·

Mayoral ↓

Subs used · ALA

46'

Vicente ↑ ·

Calebe ↓

78'

Suarez ↑ ·

Ibanez ↓

78'

Alena ↑ ·

Martinez ↓

78'

Boye ↑ ·

Diaz ↓

88'

Parada ↑ ·

Yusi ↓

Statistics

GET 1 – 1 ALA

45%

Possession (%)

55%

0.18

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.58

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

71%

Pass Accuracy (%)

73%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

16 · 1 – 1

21'

▮

Calebe

Yellow Card

Abdelkabir Abqar

Yellow Card

▮

31'

Half-time · 0 – 0

Alex Sancris ↓ · A. Kamara ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

⇄

C. Vicente ↓ · Calebe ↑

Substitution 1

Javier Munoz ↓ · M. Martin ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

61'

M. Arambarri

Assist · B. Mayoral · 1–0

⚽

63'

71'

⚽

A. Guevara

Assist · T. Martinez · 1–1

78'

▮

Facundo Garcés

Yellow Card

78'

⇄

D. Suarez ↓ · P. Ibanez ↑

Substitution 2

78'

⇄

C. Alena ↓ · T. Martinez ↑

Substitution 3

78'

⇄

L. Boye ↓ · M. Diaz ↑

Substitution 4

Davinchi ↓ · D. Rico ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

79'

C. da Costa ↓ · B. Mayoral ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

83'

Davinchi

Yellow Card

▮

88'

⇄

V. Parada ↓ · Yusi ↑

Substitution 5

90+4'

▮

Abderrahman Rebbach

Yellow Card

Full-time · 1 – 1

Match recap

Getafe and Alaves drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 55% of the ball. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 10 shots to 6, 3 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 7 to 2. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: M. Arambarri (63'), A. Guevara (71').

Model audit for this match: of 10 graded markets, 5 landed and 5 missed, for a net -1.07 units (Brier 0.216).

Bet recap · markets settled

10 · 5 W · 5 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	2.41	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.04	—	29%	Cashed	+2.04	Cashed
Away Win	3.80	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.36	—	70%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
BTTS No	1.53	—	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.32	—	73%	Cashed	+0.32	Cashed
Home Team Total Over 0.5	1.46	—	65%	Cashed	+0.46	Cashed
Away Team Total Over 0.5	1.75	—	50%	Cashed	+0.75	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.58	—	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home -0.5	2.36	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 10 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	5 W · 5 L	−1.07u	−11% ROI

Getafe vs Alaves 1:1: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled