Getafe's home form shows a solid defensive shape and a slightly better overall strength compared to Alaves, who have been more inconsistent away. Both teams have moderate attacking threat but tend to keep games relatively tight. The home side's recent form is slightly more positive, and their home advantage should play a role in controlling the match tempo. The model leans toward a competitive game with a moderate chance for goals, favoring a home win but keeping the draw well within reach. Totals markets suggest a balanced outlook with some value in under 2.5 goals and BTTS No, reflecting the defensive solidity and chance quality expected.
Post-match · 90 sec read
⛀ Lineups
GET 4-5-1 · ALA 4-4-2📊 Statistics
GET 1 – 1 ALA45%
Possession (%)
55%
0.18
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
0.58
6
Total Shots
10
1
Shots on Target
3
1
Shots off Target
4
3
Shots Inside Box
6
2
Corner Kicks
7
5
Offsides
6
14
Fouls
20
71%
Pass Accuracy (%)
73%
2
Yellow Cards
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
0
⏱ Match events
16 · 1 – 121'
▮
Calebe
Yellow Card
Abdelkabir Abqar
Yellow Card
31'
Half-time · 0 – 0
Alex Sancris ↓ · A. Kamara ↑
Substitution 1
46'
46'
⇄
C. Vicente ↓ · Calebe ↑
Substitution 1
Javier Munoz ↓ · M. Martin ↑
Substitution 2
61'
M. Arambarri
Assist · B. Mayoral · 1–0
63'
71'
⚽
A. Guevara
Assist · T. Martinez · 1–1
78'
▮
Facundo Garcés
Yellow Card
78'
⇄
D. Suarez ↓ · P. Ibanez ↑
Substitution 2
78'
⇄
C. Alena ↓ · T. Martinez ↑
Substitution 3
78'
⇄
L. Boye ↓ · M. Diaz ↑
Substitution 4
Davinchi ↓ · D. Rico ↑
Substitution 3
79'
C. da Costa ↓ · B. Mayoral ↑
Substitution 4
83'
Davinchi
Yellow Card
88'
88'
⇄
V. Parada ↓ · Yusi ↑
Substitution 5
90+4'
▮
Abderrahman Rebbach
Yellow Card
Full-time · 1 – 1
Match recap
Getafe and Alaves drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–0.
In possession, the visitors ran the game with 55% of the ball. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 10 shots to 6, 3 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 7 to 2. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.
On the scoresheet: M. Arambarri (63'), A. Guevara (71').
Model audit for this match: of 10 graded markets, 5 landed and 5 missed, for a net -1.07 units (Brier 0.216).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
10 · 5 W · 5 L| Market | Odds | Closed | AI | Result | P/L · 1u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Win | 2.41 | — | 44% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Draw | 3.04 | — | 29% | Cashed | +2.04 | Cashed |
| Away Win | 3.80 | — | 28% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Under 2.5 | 1.36 | — | 70% | Cashed | +0.36 | Cashed |
| BTTS No | 1.53 | — | 55% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Double Chance 1X | 1.32 | — | 73% | Cashed | +0.32 | Cashed |
| Home Team Total Over 0.5 | 1.46 | — | 65% | Cashed | +0.46 | Cashed |
| Away Team Total Over 0.5 | 1.75 | — | 50% | Cashed | +0.75 | Cashed |
| AH Home 0 | 1.58 | — | 60% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| AH Home -0.5 | 2.36 | — | 44% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Total · 10 markets @ 1u each | — | — | — | 5 W · 5 L | −1.07u | −11% ROI |