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Home Spain La Liga Sevilla — Villarreal

Predictions Sevilla vs Villarreal September 23, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Sevilla
Sevilla
Home · last 5 W W W L L
Kick-off
Tue 23 Sep · 19:30
1:2
Full-time
Villarreal
Villarreal
W D L L W Away · last 5
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán · Sevilla Referee César Soto Grado, Spain
Home Win · SEV
28%
Best 3.20
Draw
28%
Best 3.30
VALUE
Away Win · VIL
44%
Best 2.29
Value pick
Away Win
@ 2.45
Fair odds
2.27
book 2.45 · +8.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
p 44% · EV +8.0%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Value pick
Probability 44%
Odds 2.45
Show model details
Implied probability 40.8%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win
Probability 28%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 28%
Odds 3.42
Show model details
Implied probability 29.2%
Bet quality Low
Totals 1 market
Over 2.5 Best in group
Probability 52%
Odds 2.03
Show model details
Implied probability 49.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 1 market
BTTS Yes Value pick
Probability 62%
Odds 1.76
Show model details
Implied probability 56.8%
Bet quality Medium
Asian Handicap 1 market
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 57%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 1 market
Double Chance X2 Best in group
Probability 70%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
SEV – VIL @ 2.45
+8.0%
Edge
Forecast →