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Home England Premier League Aston Villa — Burnley

Predictions Aston Villa vs Burnley October 5, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Home · last 5 L L D W W
Kick-off
Sun 05 Oct · 13:00
2:1
Full-time
Burnley
Burnley
L L D L D Away · last 5
Villa Park · Birmingham Referee Andrew Kitchen, England
Home Win · AST
63%
Best 1.62
Draw
21%
Best 3.90
Away Win · BUR
16%
Best 5.75
Value pick
BTTS No
@ 1.92
Fair odds
1.85
book 1.92 · +3.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 54% · EV +3.7%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
No value bet found The model's probabilities are close to bookmaker prices, so there is no clear edge right now. The markets below show the most likely outcomes, not value bets.
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 63%
Odds 1.61
Show model details
Implied probability 62.1%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 16%
Odds 6.41
Show model details
Implied probability 15.6%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 21%
Odds 4.30
Show model details
Implied probability 23.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 2 markets
Over 3.5
Probability 31%
Odds 3.20
Show model details
Implied probability 31.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5 Best in group
Probability 52%
Odds 1.92
Show model details
Implied probability 52.1%
Bet quality Low
Team Totals 1 market
Away Team Total Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 58%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 1 market
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 54%
Odds 1.92
Show model details
Implied probability 52.1%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.