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Home Germany Germany Bundesliga Bayer Leverkusen — Hamburger SV

Predictions Bayer Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV May 16, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
Home · last 5 L W W L D
Kick-off
Sat 16 May · 13:30
1:1
Full-time
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
L L W W D Away · last 5
BayArena · Leverkusen Referee Tobias Stieler, Germany
Home Win · BAY
77%
Best 1.33
Draw
16%
Best 6.45
Away Win · HAM
7%
Best 9.10
Value pick
Under 3.5
@ 2.15
Fair odds
1.88
book 2.15 · +14.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 53% · EV +14.7%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Draw
Probability 15.6%
Odds 6.81
Show model details
Implied probability 14.7%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win Top pick
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality Medium
Away Win
Probability 7.2%
Odds 10.60
Show model details
Implied probability 9.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 6 markets
Under 3.5 Value pick
Probability 53.3%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Medium
Over 3.5
Probability 46.7%
Odds 1.81
Show model details
Implied probability 55.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 32.8%
Odds 3.75
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Medium
Under 1.5
Probability 14.3%
Odds 8.00
Show model details
Implied probability 12.5%
Bet quality Medium
Over 1.5 Best in group
Probability 85.7%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 67.2%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 43.2%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 56.8%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 7.2%
Odds 7.00
Show model details
Implied probability 14.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 92.8%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2
Probability 22.8%
Odds 3.98
Show model details
Implied probability 25.1%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 3.5
BAY – HAM @ 2.15
+14.7%
Edge
Forecast →