Match Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln May 16, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Bayern München enter this clash with strong home momentum, boasting a potent attack that outmatches Köln's defensive setup. Their recent form shows resilience and clinical finishing, while Köln struggles for consistency on the road. The home side’s pressing edge and compact block should limit Köln’s chances, suggesting a likely control of the game tempo.

Bayern’s offensive firepower vs Köln’s leaky defense
Home form superiority and tactical discipline
High probability of multiple goals given attacking styles

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

BAY 4-2-3-1 · KOL 5-4-1

BAY · 4-2-3-1 5-4-1 · KOL

9 Kane ⚽

Subs used · BAY

46'

Stanisic ↑ ·

Laimer ↓

60'

Urbig ↑ ·

Neuer ↓

61'

Olise ↑ ·

Karl ↓

70'

Guerreiro ↑ ·

Musiala ↓

83'

Jackson ↑ ·

Goretzka ↓

Subs used · KOL

46'

Maina ↑ ·

Schmied ↓

69'

Johannesson ↑ ·

Castro-Montes ↓

80'

Thielmann ↑ ·

El Mala ↓

80'

Niang ↑ ·

Bulter ↓

90+2'

Kainz ↑ ·

Kaminski ↓

📊 Statistics

BAY 5 – 1 KOL

69%

Possession (%)

31%

2.72

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.90

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

91%

Pass Accuracy (%)

82%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

18 · 5 – 1

H. Kane

Assist · J. Kimmich · 1–0

⚽

10'

H. Kane

Assist · J. Kimmich · 2–0

⚽

13'

18'

⚽

S. El Mala

2–1

T. Bischof

Assist · L. Karl · 3–1

⚽

22'

34'

▮

J. Schmied

Yellow Card

K. Laimer

Yellow Card

▮

37'

Half-time · 3 – 1

J. Stanisic ↓ · K. Laimer ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

⇄

L. Maina ↓ · J. Schmied ↑

Substitution 1

J. Urbig ↓ · M. Neuer ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

60'

M. Olise ↓ · L. Karl ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

61'

69'

⇄

I. Johannesson ↓ · A. Castro-Montes ↑

Substitution 2

H. Kane

Assist · L. Goretzka · 4–1

⚽

69'

R. Guerreiro ↓ · J. Musiala ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

70'

80'

⇄

J. Thielmann ↓ · S. El Mala ↑

Substitution 3

80'

⇄

Y. Niang ↓ · M. Bulter ↑

Substitution 4

N. Jackson ↓ · L. Goretzka ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

83'

N. Jackson

Assist · L. Diaz · 5–1

⚽

83'

90+2'

⇄

F. Kainz ↓ · J. Kaminski ↑

Substitution 5

Full-time · 5 – 1

Match recap

Bayern München beat 1. FC Köln 5–1 at home. At half-time it was 3–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 69% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 91% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.72 to 0.90. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 9, 7 on target. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 5 from 2.72 expected goals.

On the scoresheet: H. Kane (10'), H. Kane (13'), S. El Mala (18'), T. Bischof (22'), H. Kane (69'), N. Jackson (83').

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net -6.77 units (Brier 0.037).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	2.80	2.75	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	9.55	8.77	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.04	1.04	95%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.46	1.41	67%	Cashed	+0.46	Cashed
Home Win	1.18	1.16	82%	Cashed	+0.18	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.03	1.03	82%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Under 3.5	3.40	3.19	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	5.55	5.43	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.03	1.02	94%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.13	1.08	85%	Cashed	+0.13	Cashed
Over 3.5	1.36	1.32	71%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
Under 1.5	17.00	14.93	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	6.00	5.99	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	15.00	12.50	5%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	9.70	9.71	5%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	7 W · 8 L	−6.77u	−45% ROI