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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › 1. FC Köln — Borussia Mönchengladbach

1. FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach 2:1: Match Review & Stats

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
1. FC Köln
1. FC Köln
Home · last 5 W L D L W
Kick-off
Sun 11 Oct · 13:30
2:1
Full-time
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Borussia Mönchengladbach
L L L L L Away · last 5
RheinEnergieStadion · Cologne Referee Florian Badstubner
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 45% · book 2.62 ✗
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 46% · book 2.60 ✗
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 67% · book 1.70 ✓
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
1.35 – 1.18
Δ +0.17
Possession
48% – 52%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.70 — +13.6% better than the market.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5
Under 3.5 @ 1.70 ✓ Cashed
AI 67% Implied 59% +0.70u
+70%
ROI on stake

Lineups

KOL 4-2-3-1 · MOE 3-4-2-1
KOL · 4-2-3-1 3-4-2-1 · MOE 1 Schwäbe 28 Sebulonsen 22 Simpson-Pusey 24 Lochoshvili 3 Sosa 8 Bergmann Jóhannesson ⚽ 6 Skhiri 37 Maina 47 Moore 10 El Mala ⚽ 30 Bülter 1 Nicolas 14 Hashioka 5 Leszczyński 4 Diks 29 Scally ⚽ 38 Bolin 16 Sander 26 Ullrich 25 Hack 10 Neuhaus 3 Lidberg
Subs used · KOL
45' Krauß ↑ · Skhiri ↓
78' Thielmann ↑ · Mala ↓
78' Schmied ↑ · Lochoshvili ↓
85' Rondić ↑ · Moore ↓
90+2' Waldschmidt ↑ · Maina ↓
Subs used · MOE
64' Machino ↑ · Lidberg ↓
64' Mohya ↑ · Hack ↓
68' Uno ↑ · Neuhaus ↓
80' Fleck ↑ · Hashioka ↓
80' Chiarodia ↑ · Leszczynski ↓

Statistics

KOL 2 – 1 MOE
48%
Possession (%)
52%
1.35
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.18
19
Total Shots
16
7
Shots on Target
7
10
Shots off Target
4
13
Shots Inside Box
7
6
Corner Kicks
6
1
Offsides
1
8
Fouls
17
1
Yellow Cards
3
6
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match events

17 · 2 – 1
Marius Bülter
Yellow Card
▮
13'
24'
▮
Jan Leszczynski
Yellow Card
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson
1–0
⚽
26'
39'
⚽
Joe Scally
1–1
Tom Krauß ↓ · Ellyes Skhiri ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
45'
Half-time · 1 – 1
64'
⇄
Shuto Machino ↓ · Isac Lidberg ↑
Substitution 1
64'
⇄
Wael Mohya ↓ · Robin Hack ↑
Substitution 2
Said El Mala
Assist · Linton Maina · 2–1
⚽
67'
68'
⇄
Zento Uno ↓ · Florian Neuhaus ↑
Substitution 3
Jan Thielmann ↓ · Said El Mala ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
78'
Joel Schmied ↓ · Luka Lochoshvili ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
78'
80'
⇄
Fritz Fleck ↓ · Daiki Hashioka ↑
Substitution 4
80'
⇄
Fabio Cristian Chiarodia ↓ · Jan Leszczynski ↑
Substitution 5
81'
▮
Zento Uno
Yellow Card
Imad Rondić ↓ · Mikey Moore ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
85'
Luca Waldschmidt ↓ · Linton Maina ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
90+2'
90+6'
▮
Shuto Machino
Yellow Card
Full-time · 2 – 1

Match recap

1. FC Köln beat Borussia Mönchengladbach 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–1.

For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson (26'), Joe Scally (39'), Said El Mala (67').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.44 units (Brier 0.118).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 2.62 2.58 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.60 2.55 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.70 1.67 67% Cashed +0.70 Cashed
Home Win 1.98 1.95 56% Cashed +0.98 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.83 1.80 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.24 2.30 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.56 2.68 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 17.00 16.95 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 5.28 5.49 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.32 1.30 79% Cashed +0.32 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.54 1.51 56% Cashed +0.54 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.44 1.46 55% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.44 1.50 54% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.02 1.02 90% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Draw 3.85 3.85 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.12 1.14 72% Cashed +0.12 Cashed
Away Win 3.28 3.55 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −5.44u −32% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 3.5
KOL – MOE @ 1.70
+13.6%
Edge
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