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Home Germany Germany Bundesliga RB Leipzig — FC St. Pauli

Predictions RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli May 9, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
Home · last 5 W W L W L
Kick-off
Sat 09 May · 13:30
2:1
Full-time
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
D L L L L Away · last 5
Referee Benjamin Brand, Germany
Home Win · LEI
75%
Best 1.33
Draw
18%
Best 6.10
Away Win · PAU
7%
Best 9.95
Value pick
Under 3.5
@ 1.76
Fair odds
1.65
book 1.76 · +6.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 61% · EV +6.5%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Draw
Probability 17.8%
Odds 5.94
Show model details
Implied probability 16.8%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win Top pick
Probability 74.9%
Odds 1.34
Show model details
Implied probability 74.6%
Bet quality Medium
Away Win
Probability 7.4%
Odds 9.85
Show model details
Implied probability 10.2%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 3.5
Probability 60.5%
Odds 1.76
Show model details
Implied probability 56.8%
Bet quality Medium
Under 2.5
Probability 38.3%
Odds 2.75
Show model details
Implied probability 36.4%
Bet quality Medium
Over 3.5
Probability 39.5%
Odds 2.23
Show model details
Implied probability 44.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 61.7%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 18.2%
Odds 6.00
Show model details
Implied probability 16.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 4.6%
Odds 22.00
Show model details
Implied probability 4.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 95.4%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 81.8%
Odds 1.14
Show model details
Implied probability 87.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Top pick
Probability 50.2%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes
Probability 49.8%
Odds 1.77
Show model details
Implied probability 56.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 74.9%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 7.4%
Odds 6.80
Show model details
Implied probability 14.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 92.6%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2
Probability 25.2%
Odds 3.56
Show model details
Implied probability 28.1%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.