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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Germany Germany Bundesliga RB Leipzig — FC St. Pauli

Match RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli May 9, 2026

RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
Home · last 5 W W L W L
Kick-off
Sat 09 May · 13:30
2:1
Full-time
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
D L L L L Away · last 5
Referee Benjamin Brand, Germany
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 61% · book 1.76
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 50% · book 2.10
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 38% · book 2.75
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
1.41 – 0.83
Δ +0.58
Possession
70% – 30%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

RB Leipzig enter this clash with clear momentum, boasting a strong home edge and a potent attack that outmatches St. Pauli's defensive setup. Leipzig's recent form shows resilience and goal threat, while St. Pauli struggles for consistency and offensive impact. The home side's pressing and compact block should limit St. Pauli's chances, suggesting a controlled game with moderate goal flow.

  • Leipzig's superior quality and home advantage
  • St. Pauli's defensive vulnerabilities against high pressing
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

📊 Statistics

LEI 21 PAU
70%
Possession (%)
30%
1.41
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.83
13
Total Shots
7
5
Shots on Target
3
6
Shots off Target
2
8
Shots Inside Box
4
3
Corner Kicks
5
2
Offsides
0
5
Fouls
9
89%
Pass Accuracy (%)
71%
2
Yellow Cards
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

14 · 2 – 1
C. Lukeba
Yellow Card
19'
X. Schlager
Assist · C. Baumgartner · 1–0
45'
Half-time · 1 – 0
C. Baumgartner
Yellow Card
50'
W. Orban
Assist · D. Raum · 2–0
54'
64'
H. Wahl ↓ · L. Ritzka ↑
Substitution 1
64'
F. Stevens ↓ · L. Oppie ↑
Substitution 2
N. Seiwald ↓ · A. Ouedraogo ↑
Substitution 1
69'
M. Finkgrafe ↓ · D. Raum ↑
Substitution 2
69'
72'
A. Ceesay ↓ · A. Hountondji ↑
Substitution 3
A. Nusa ↓ · B. Gruda ↑
Substitution 3
79'
86'
A. Ceesay
Assist · J. Irvine · 2–1
89'
M. Rasmussen ↓ · E. Smith ↑
Substitution 4
89'
D. Sinani ↓ · C. Metcalfe ↑
Substitution 5
B. Henrichs ↓ · R. Baku ↑
Substitution 4
90+1'
Full-time · 2 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 3.5 1.76 1.75 61% Cashed +0.76 Cashed
BTTS No 2.10 2.01 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.75 2.75 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.77 1.74 50% Cashed +0.77 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.23 2.10 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 5.94 5.62 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.34 1.30 75% Cashed +0.34 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.08 1.08 93% Cashed +0.08 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.44 1.41 62% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.10 1.09 75% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
Under 1.5 6.00 5.49 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 22.00 18.87 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.02 1.01 95% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.14 1.10 82% Cashed +0.14 Cashed
Double Chance X2 3.56 3.44 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 9.85 9.26 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 6.80 6.37 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −6.35u −37% ROI