Wolves vs Brighton 1:1 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 2.5 at 1.92 — +7.5% better than the market.

Wolves vs Brighton — betting preview

Brighton arrive with the stronger all-round level and a healthier recent trend, while Wolves’ home output has struggled to sustain pressure. Expect the visitors to control key phases and generate the cleaner looks, with Wolves leaning more on moments and set pieces. Game state matters: an early away goal can open the match, pushing totals upward and keeping the draw in play if Wolves hang around. Our numbers lean away-sided outcomes and modest value on core goal markets rather than a short price on protection-heavy angles.

Main risks: early Wolves strike flipping the script; penalty/VAR variance; late-game chaos if either side chases.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5

Over 2.5 @ 1.92 ✗ Lost

AI 56% Implied 52% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

WOL 4-3-3 · BRI 4-2-3-1

WOL · 4-3-3 4-2-3-1 · BRI

11 Hwang

Subs used · WOL

60'

Agbadou ↑ ·

Hee-Chan ↓

76'

Bellegarde ↑ ·

S. Larsen ↓

77'

M. Wolfe ↑ ·

Bueno ↓

90+1'

Arokodare ↑ ·

Munetsi ↓

90+1'

Mosquera ↑ ·

Gomes ↓

Subs used · BRI

46'

Rutter ↑ ·

Baleba ↓

70'

Tzimas ↑ ·

Gruda ↓

70'

De Cuyper ↑ ·

Wieffer ↓

76'

Milner ↑ ·

Gomez ↓

Statistics

WOL 1 – 1 BRI

42%

Possession (%)

58%

0.56

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.15

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

78%

Pass Accuracy (%)

87%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

17 · 1 – 1

20'

▮

Carlos Baleba

Yellow Card

B. Verbruggen

Own goal · 1–0

⚽

21'

36'

▮

Lewis Dunk

Yellow Card

43'

▮

Mats Wieffer

Yellow Card

Half-time · 1 – 0

46'

⇄

G. Rutter ↓ · C. Baleba ↑

Substitution 1

45+2'

▮

Danny Welbeck

Yellow Card

Santiago Bueno

Yellow Card

▮

51'

E. Agbadou ↓ · Hwang Hee-Chan ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

60'

70'

⇄

S. Tzimas ↓ · B. Gruda ↑

Substitution 2

70'

⇄

M. De Cuyper ↓ · M. Wieffer ↑

Substitution 3

J. Bellegarde ↓ · J. S. Larsen ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

76'

⇄

J. Milner ↓ · D. Gomez ↑

Substitution 4

D. M. Wolfe ↓ · S. Bueno ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

77'

86'

⚽

J. P. van Hecke

Assist · S. Tzimas · 1–1

T. Arokodare ↓ · M. Munetsi ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

90+1'

Y. Mosquera ↓ · Joao Gomes ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

90+1'

André

Yellow Card

▮

90+6'

Full-time · 1 – 1

Match recap

Wolves and Brighton drew 1–1. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 58% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 87% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.15 to 0.56. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 6, 6 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 8 to 2. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: B. Verbruggen (21'), J. P. van Hecke (86').

Model audit for this match: of 6 graded markets, 3 landed and 3 missed, for a net +0.83 units (Brier 0.229).

Bet recap · markets settled

6 · 3 W · 3 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 2.5	1.92	—	56%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.77	—	59%	Cashed	+0.77	Cashed
Away Win	2.05	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.31	—	78%	Cashed	+0.31	Cashed
Draw	3.75	—	27%	Cashed	+2.75	Cashed
Home Win	3.95	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 6 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	3 W · 3 L	+0.83u	+14% ROI

Wolves vs Brighton 1:1: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

Wolves vs Brighton — betting preview

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled