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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › Eintracht Frankfurt — Hamburger SV

Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV 1:2: Match Review & Stats

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt
Home · last 5 L D L L D
Kick-off
Sat 02 May · 13:30
1:2
Full-time
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
L L W W D Away · last 5
Referee Deniz Aytekin, Germany
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 67% · book 1.66 ✓
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 62% · book 1.74 ✗
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 46% · book 2.40 ✗
Total goals
3
1 · 2
xG (open play)
0.70 – 0.60
Δ +0.10
Possession
64% – 36%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.66 — +11.3% better than the market.

Eintracht Frankfurt holds a clear quality edge and home momentum against Hamburger SV, who struggle with form and offensive output. Frankfurt’s solid defense and superior attacking potential suggest control over the match tempo, likely limiting Hamburg’s chances. Expect a compact home block with efficient transitions and a moderate goal environment favored by the odds.

  • Home side’s pressing edge and defensive solidity
  • Hamburg’s recent poor form and limited scoring threat
  • Moderate pace indicated by betting market totals

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5
Under 3.5 @ 1.66 ✓ Cashed
AI 67% Implied 60% +0.66u
+66%
ROI on stake

Lineups

EIN 4-2-3-1 · HAM 3-4-3
EIN · 4-2-3-1 3-4-3 · HAM 23 Zetterer 5 Amenda 15 Skhiri 4 Koch 21 Brown 16 Larsson 6 Højlund 7 Knauff 42 Uzun ⚽ 25 Kalimuendo 9 Burkardt 1 Fernandes 24 Capaldo 25 Torunarigha 17 Omari 18 Jatta 21 Remberg 6 Lokonga 23 Grønbæk ⚽ 20 Vieira ⚽ 9 Glatzel 11 Königsdörffer
Subs used · EIN
61' Bahoya ↑ · Burkardt ↓
61' Kristensen ↑ · Skhiri ↓
61' Chaibi ↑ · Hojlund ↓
82' Ebnoutalib ↑ · Larsson ↓
82' Amaimouni ↑ · Knauff ↓
Subs used · HAM
68' Gocholeishvili ↑ · Jatta ↓
68' Downs ↑ · Glatzel ↓
78' Vuskovic ↑ · Gronbaek ↓
79' Elfadli ↑ · S. Lokonga ↓
83' Poulsen ↑ · Torunarigha ↓

Statistics

EIN 1 – 2 HAM
64%
Possession (%)
36%
0.70
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.60
8
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Target
4
1
Shots off Target
3
5
Shots Inside Box
4
9
Corner Kicks
4
0
Offsides
2
13
Fouls
5
86%
Pass Accuracy (%)
81%
6
Yellow Cards
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

21 · 1 – 2
Half-time · 0 – 0
C. Y. Uzun
Assist · J. Burkardt · 1–0
⚽
48'
51'
⚽
A. Gronbaek
Assist · W. Omari · 1–1
O. Hojlund
Yellow Card
▮
52'
59'
⚽
F. Vieira
Assist · A. Gronbaek · 1–2
J. Bahoya ↓ · J. Burkardt ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
61'
R. Kristensen ↓ · E. Skhiri ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
61'
F. Chaibi ↓ · O. Hojlund ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
61'
68'
⇄
G. Gocholeishvili ↓ · B. Jatta ↑
Substitution 1
68'
⇄
D. Downs ↓ · R. Glatzel ↑
Substitution 2
R. Kristensen
Yellow Card
▮
71'
78'
⇄
L. Vuskovic ↓ · A. Gronbaek ↑
Substitution 3
79'
⇄
D. Elfadli ↓ · A. S. Lokonga ↑
Substitution 4
Y. Ebnoutalib ↓ · H. Larsson ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
82'
A. Amaimouni ↓ · A. Knauff ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
82'
83'
⇄
Y. Poulsen ↓ · J. Torunarigha ↑
Substitution 5
A. Kalimuendo
Yellow Card
▮
85'
88'
▮
N. Capaldo
Yellow Card
C. Y. Uzun
Yellow Card
▮
88'
J. Bahoya
Yellow Card
▮
90+10'
R. Kristensen
Yellow Card
▮
90+12'
R. Kristensen
Red Card
▮
90+12'
Full-time · 1 – 2

Match recap

Hamburger SV won 2–1 away at Eintracht Frankfurt. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 64% of the ball. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 9 to 4. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: C. Y. Uzun (48'), A. Gronbaek (51'), F. Vieira (59'). R. Kristensen was sent off in the 90+12' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +0.39 units (Brier 0.266).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 3.5 1.66 1.67 67% Cashed +0.66 Cashed
Home Win 1.74 1.73 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.40 2.62 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.40 2.50 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 2.22 2.07 38% Cashed +1.22 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.42 2.25 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 5.00 5.49 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.23 1.21 84% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 20.00 18.87 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.57 1.50 54% Cashed +0.57 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.57 1.47 54% Cashed +0.57 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.30 1.31 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.03 1.02 93% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Draw 4.37 4.10 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.17 1.14 77% Cashed +0.17 Cashed
Away Win 4.72 4.35 16% Cashed +3.72 Cashed
AH Away 0 3.45 3.26 16% Cashed +2.45 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L +0.39u +2% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 3.5
EIN – HAM @ 1.66
+11.3%
Edge
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