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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › Bayern München — 1. FC Heidenheim

Predictions by Market: Bayern München vs 1. FC Heidenheim

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
Bayern München
Bayern München
Home · last 5 W W D W W
Kick-off
Sat 02 May · 13:30
3:3
Full-time
1. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Heidenheim
L W D W L Away · last 5
Referee Frank Willenborg, Germany

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · BAY
78%
Best 1.29
Draw
15%
Best 7.00
Away Win · HEI
7%
Best 10.40
Value pick
Draw
@ 7.32
Fair odds
6.61
book 7.32 · +10.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 15% · EV +10.8%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (78%), but Draw is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Draw
Probability 15.1%
Odds 7.32
Show model details
Implied probability 13.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 77.6%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Away Win
Probability 7.3%
Odds 11.60
Show model details
Implied probability 8.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 6 markets
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 65.8%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 36.3%
Odds 2.26
Show model details
Implied probability 44.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 81.3%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5 Best in group
Probability 92.4%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 18.7%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 7.6%
Odds 9.80
Show model details
Implied probability 10.2%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 39.4%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 63.5%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 77.6%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 7.3%
Odds 6.45
Show model details
Implied probability 15.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 92.7%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 22.4%
Odds 4.30
Show model details
Implied probability 23.3%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Draw
BAY – HEI @ 7.32
+10.8%
Edge
Forecast →