Match Bayern München vs 1. FC Heidenheim May 2, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 3.5 at 1.75 — +11.5% better than the market.

Bayern München carry strong home momentum with a potent attack facing a struggling Heidenheim defense. The quality gap heavily favors Bayern, who have been clinical in front of goal recently, while Heidenheim’s defensive frailties are exposed against top-tier offenses. Expect a high-tempo game with Bayern pressing aggressively and likely to dominate possession.

Bayern's offensive edge against Heidenheim's defense suggests multiple scoring chances.
Heidenheim's recent form shows resilience but lacks firepower.
Historical clashes hint at Bayern’s dominance and goal-scoring prowess.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Over 3.5

Over 3.5 @ 1.75

AI 64% Implied 57% Value

+11.5%

Expected value

⛀ Lineups

BAY 4-2-3-1 · HEI 3-4-3

BAY · 4-2-3-1 3-4-3 · HEI

11 Jackson

Subs used · BAY

46'

Kane ↑ ·

Ndiaye ↓

46'

Diaz ↑ ·

Stanisic ↓

46'

Olise ↑ ·

Musiala ↓

46'

Kimmich ↑ ·

Pavlovic ↓

77'

Davies ↑ ·

Tah ↓

Subs used · HEI

77'

Schimmer ↑ ·

Pieringer ↓

81'

Kerber ↑ ·

Ibrahimovic ↓

81'

Kaufmann ↑ ·

Zivzivadze ↓

89'

Siersleben ↑ ·

Dorsch ↓

📊 Statistics

BAY 3 – 3 HEI

75%

Possession (%)

25%

2.21

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.13

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

89%

Pass Accuracy (%)

68%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

20 · 3 – 3

22'

⚽

B. Zivzivadze

Assist · M. Busch · 0–1

31'

⚽

E. Dinkci

Assist · M. Busch · 0–2

L. Goretzka

1–2

⚽

44'

N. Jackson

Yellow Card

▮

45'

▮

D. Ramaj

Yellow Card

Half-time · 1 – 2

H. Kane ↓ · B. Ndiaye ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

L. Diaz ↓ · J. Stanisic ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

46'

M. Olise ↓ · J. Musiala ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

46'

J. Kimmich ↓ · A. Pavlovic ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

46'

L. Goretzka

Assist · M. Olise · 2–2

⚽

57'

J. Tah

Yellow Card

▮

72'

76'

⚽

B. Zivzivadze

Assist · A. Ibrahimovic · 2–3

A. Davies ↓ · J. Tah ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

77'

⇄

S. Schimmer ↓ · M. Pieringer ↑

Substitution 1

81'

⇄

L. Kerber ↓ · A. Ibrahimovic ↑

Substitution 2

81'

⇄

M. Kaufmann ↓ · B. Zivzivadze ↑

Substitution 3

K. Laimer

Yellow Card

▮

85'

89'

⇄

T. Siersleben ↓ · N. Dorsch ↑

Substitution 4

90'

▮

M. Busch

Yellow Card

D. Ramaj

Own goal · 3–3

⚽

90+10'

Full-time · 3 – 3

Match recap

Bayern München and 1. FC Heidenheim drew 3–3. At half-time it was 1–2.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 75% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 89% of their passes. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 23 shots to 12, 7 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 13 to 5. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: B. Zivzivadze (22'), E. Dinkci (31'), L. Goretzka (44'), L. Goretzka (57'), B. Zivzivadze (76'), D. Ramaj (90+10').

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net +3.08 units (Brier 0.211).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 3.5	1.57	1.55	66%	Cashed	+0.57	Cashed
BTTS No	2.50	2.56	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.50	1.46	64%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
Under 3.5	2.26	2.38	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	7.32	6.94	15%	Cashed	+6.32	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.07	1.06	93%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Home Win	1.26	1.25	78%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.05	1.08	78%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.25	1.20	81%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.07	1.05	92%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Double Chance X2	4.30	3.86	22%	Cashed	+3.30	Cashed
Away Win	11.60	10.00	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	4.00	4.33	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	9.80	10.00	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	6.45	6.54	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	7 W · 8 L	+3.08u	+21% ROI

Match Bayern München vs 1. FC Heidenheim May 2, 2026 — Result and Stats

AI picks Over 3.5 at 1.75 — +11.5% better than the market.

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled