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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › 1. FC Heidenheim — FC St. Pauli

Predictions by Market: 1. FC Heidenheim vs FC St. Pauli

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
1. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Heidenheim
Home · last 5 L W D W L
Kick-off
Sat 25 Apr · 13:30
2:0
Full-time
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
D L L L L Away · last 5
Voith-Arena · Heidenheim an der Brenz Referee Felix Zwayer, Germany

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · HEI
46%
Best 2.43
Draw
26%
Best 3.50
Away Win · PAU
28%
Best 3.15
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 3.43
Fair odds
2.99
book 3.43 · +14.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 33% · EV +14.7%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (67%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 46.2%
Odds 2.38
Show model details
Implied probability 42%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Away Win
Probability 27.9%
Odds 2.95
Show model details
Implied probability 33.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 25.9%
Odds 3.35
Show model details
Implied probability 29.9%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 58.7%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality High
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 41.3%
Odds 1.93
Show model details
Implied probability 51.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 33.4%
Odds 3.43
Show model details
Implied probability 29.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 10.9%
Odds 10.50
Show model details
Implied probability 9.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 78.2%
Odds 1.31
Show model details
Implied probability 76.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 89.1%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 66.6%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 21.8%
Odds 3.28
Show model details
Implied probability 30.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Value pick
Probability 54.2%
Odds 2.06
Show model details
Implied probability 48.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 45.8%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 46.2%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 27.9%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 72.1%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 53.8%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
HEI – PAU @ 3.43
+14.7%
Edge
Forecast →