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Home Germany Germany Bundesliga FC St. Pauli — 1. FC Köln

Predictions FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Köln April 17, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
Home · last 5 D L L L L
Kick-off
Fri 17 Apr · 18:30
1:1
Full-time
1. FC Köln
1. FC Köln
D L D L L Away · last 5
Millerntor-Stadion · Hamburg Referee Matthias Jollenbeck, Germany
Home Win · PAU
30%
Best 2.89
Draw
28%
Best 3.25
Away Win · KOL
42%
Best 2.45
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 1.81
Fair odds
1.73
book 1.81 · +4.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 58% · EV +4.5%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win
Probability 29.7%
Odds 2.80
Show model details
Implied probability 35.7%
Bet quality Low
Away Win Best in group
Probability 41.9%
Odds 3.15
Show model details
Implied probability 31.8%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 28.4%
Odds 3.39
Show model details
Implied probability 29.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 57.7%
Odds 1.81
Show model details
Implied probability 55.3%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 42.3%
Odds 2.17
Show model details
Implied probability 46.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 31.8%
Odds 3.30
Show model details
Implied probability 30.3%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 78.5%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 10.4%
Odds 9.50
Show model details
Implied probability 10.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 89.6%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 68.2%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 21.6%
Odds 4.10
Show model details
Implied probability 24.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Top pick
Probability 53.7%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes
Probability 46.3%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 41.9%
Odds 1.96
Show model details
Implied probability 51%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0
Probability 29.7%
Odds 1.98
Show model details
Implied probability 50.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 70.3%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X
Probability 58.1%
Odds 1.51
Show model details
Implied probability 66.2%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.