P
Prognosist
P
Home Germany Germany Bundesliga Borussia Mönchengladbach — FSV Mainz 05

Match Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05 April 19, 2026 — Result and Stats

Borussia Mönchengladbach
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Home · last 5 D D W L W
Kick-off
Sun 19 Apr · 17:30
1:1
Full-time
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
D L W L W Away · last 5
BORUSSIA-PARK · Mönchengladbach Referee Tobias Welz, Germany
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 66% · book 1.62
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 52% · book 2.00
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 47% · book 2.18
Total goals
2
1 · 1
xG (open play)
0.62 – 2.16
Δ −1.54
Possession
38% – 62%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Borussia Mönchengladbach hosts FSV Mainz 05 in a Bundesliga clash where Mainz holds a slight quality edge and better recent form, signaling growing away momentum. Gladbach’s home defensive solidity faces a probing Mainz attack, suggesting tactical battles around compactness and pressing intensity. The match hints at a balanced tempo with moderate goal expectations, as both sides have shown resilience but limited scoring bursts lately.

  • Home defensive strength vs away offensive pressure
  • Recent form favors Mainz’s confidence
  • Moderate pace likely with tactical discipline

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

MOE 3-5-1-1 · MAI 3-1-4-2
Subs used · MOE
66' Honorat ↑ · Bolin
71' C. Chiarodia ↑ · Diks
72' Reyna ↑ · Stoger
72' Ullrich ↑ · Castrop
87' Takai ↑ · Tabakovic
Subs used · MAI
66' Sieb ↑ · Becker
66' Mwene ↑ · Veratschnig
76' Widmer ↑ · Caci
76' Boving ↑ · Nebel
82' Weiper ↑ · da Costa

📊 Statistics

MOE 11 MAI
38%
Possession (%)
62%
0.62
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
2.16
9
Total Shots
17
4
Shots on Target
7
2
Shots off Target
6
7
Shots Inside Box
10
0
Corner Kicks
6
0
Offsides
2
12
Fouls
8
78%
Pass Accuracy (%)
87%
5
Yellow Cards
2
6
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

19 · 1 – 1
J. Scally
Assist · H. Bolin · 1–0
7'
21'
Dominik Kohr
Yellow Card
22'
Anthony Caci
Yellow Card
Half-time · 1 – 0
F. Honorat ↓ · H. Bolin ↑
Substitution 1
66'
66'
A. Sieb ↓ · S. Becker ↑
Substitution 1
66'
P. Mwene ↓ · N. Veratschnig ↑
Substitution 2
F. C. Chiarodia ↓ · K. Diks ↑
Substitution 2
71'
G. Reyna ↓ · K. Stoger ↑
Substitution 3
72'
L. Ullrich ↓ · J. Castrop ↑
Substitution 4
72'
76'
S. Widmer ↓ · A. Caci ↑
Substitution 3
76'
W. Boving ↓ · P. Nebel ↑
Substitution 4
Haris Tabakovic
Yellow Card
82'
82'
N. Weiper ↓ · D. da Costa ↑
Substitution 5
K. Takai ↓ · H. Tabakovic ↑
Substitution 5
87'
Yannik Engelhardt
Yellow Card
89'
Nico Elvedi
Yellow Card
90'
90'
N. Amiri (P)
Penalty · 1–1
Philipp Sander
Yellow Card
90+3'
Moritz Nicolas
Yellow Card
90+7'
Full-time · 1 – 1

Match recap

Borussia Mönchengladbach and FSV Mainz 05 drew 1–1. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 62% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 87% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.16 to 0.62. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 9, 7 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 6 to 0. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: J. Scally (7'), N. Amiri (90').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.79 units (Brier 0.155).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 1.62 66% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.00 52% Cashed +1.00 Cashed
BTTS No 2.18 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.96 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.72 53% Cashed +0.72 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.17 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.47 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.82 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.99 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.45 59% Cashed +0.45 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.90 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.36 73% Cashed +0.36 Cashed
Under 0.5 12.00 8% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.06 92% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.30 73% Cashed +0.30 Cashed
Draw 3.70 25% Cashed +2.70 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.26 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −2.79u −16% ROI