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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › FC St. Pauli — Bayern München

Match FC St. Pauli vs Bayern München April 11, 2026 — Result and Stats

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
Home · last 5 D L L L L
Kick-off
Sat 11 Apr · 16:30
0:5
Full-time
Bayern München
Bayern München
W W D W W Away · last 5
Millerntor-Stadion · Hamburg Referee Tobias Stieler, Germany
Hit
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 48% · book 2.45 ✓
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 52% · book 1.88 ✗
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 48% · book 2.05 ✓
Total goals
5
0 · 5
xG (open play)
0.49 – 3.37
Δ −2.88
Possession
23% – 77%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Bayern München enter this clash with clear quality superiority and strong recent form, boasting a potent attack against St. Pauli's vulnerable defense. The home side's defensive frailties and mixed form contrast sharply with Bayern's consistent winning momentum. Expect Bayern to control the pace and create multiple chances, while St. Pauli may rely on set-pieces and counterattacks to stay competitive.

  • Bayern's offensive edge likely to exploit St. Pauli's defensive gaps
  • Home side's recent form shows resilience but limited scoring
  • Match tempo favors Bayern's high pressing and quick transitions

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

PAU 3-4-2-1 · BAY 4-2-3-1
PAU · 3-4-2-1 4-2-3-1 · BAY 22 Vasilj 15 Ando 5 Wahl 3 Mets 11 Pyrka 20 Rasmussen 16 Fujita 21 Ritzka 10 Sinani 28 Lage 27 Hountondji 1 Neuer 27 Laimer 3 Kim 21 Itō 20 Bischof 6 Kimmich 8 Goretzka ⚽ 17 Olise ⚽ 22 Guerreiro ⚽ 10 Musiala ⚽ 11 Jackson ⚽
Subs used · PAU
66' Metcalfe ↑ · Fujita ↓
77' Kaars ↑ · Hountondji ↓
77' Oppie ↑ · Ritzka ↓
89' Hara ↑ · Pereira Lage ↓
Subs used · BAY
58' Stanisic ↑ · Laimer ↓
59' Diaz ↑ · Olise ↓
59' Davies ↑ · Kimmich ↓
67' Tah ↑ · Ito ↓
84' Ndiaye ↑ · Musiala ↓

📊 Statistics

PAU 0 – 5 BAY
23%
Possession (%)
77%
0.49
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
3.37
6
Total Shots
20
3
Shots on Target
8
2
Shots off Target
5
4
Shots Inside Box
16
3
Corner Kicks
4
2
Offsides
3
9
Fouls
7
74%
Pass Accuracy (%)
92%
1
Yellow Cards
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
3

⏱ Match events

17 · 0 – 5
9'
⚽
J. Musiala
Assist · K. Laimer · 0–1
19'
▮
Konrad Laimer
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 1
Joel Chima Fujita
Yellow Card
▮
52'
52'
▮
Michael Olise
Yellow Card
53'
⚽
L. Goretzka
0–2
55'
⚽
M. Olise
Assist · L. Goretzka · 0–3
58'
⇄
J. Stanisic ↓ · K. Laimer ↑
Substitution 1
59'
⇄
L. Diaz ↓ · M. Olise ↑
Substitution 2
59'
⇄
A. Davies ↓ · J. Kimmich ↑
Substitution 3
65'
⚽
N. Jackson
Assist · J. Musiala · 0–4
C. Metcalfe ↓ · J. Fujita ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
66'
67'
⇄
J. Tah ↓ · H. Ito ↑
Substitution 4
M. Kaars ↓ · A. Hountondji ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
77'
L. Oppie ↓ · L. Ritzka ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
77'
84'
⇄
B. Ndiaye ↓ · J. Musiala ↑
Substitution 5
88'
⚽
R. Guerreiro
0–5
T. Hara ↓ · M. Pereira Lage ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
89'
Full-time · 0 – 5

Match recap

Bayern München won 5–0 away at FC St. Pauli. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 77% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 92% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 3.37 to 0.49. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 20 shots to 6, 8 on target. In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 5 from 3.37 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: J. Musiala (9'), L. Goretzka (53'), M. Olise (55'), N. Jackson (65'), R. Guerreiro (88').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.12 units (Brier 0.093).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 3.5 2.45 — 48% Cashed +1.45 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.88 — 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.05 — 48% Cashed +1.05 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.65 — 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.55 — 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.57 — 69% Cashed +0.57 Cashed
Away Win 1.39 — 74% Cashed +0.39 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.11 — 92% Cashed +0.11 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.10 — 74% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.18 — 86% Cashed +0.18 Cashed
Draw 5.60 — 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.03 — 96% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 3.28 — 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 5.40 — 14% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 9.00 — 8% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 19.50 — 4% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 6.80 — 8% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −5.12u −30% ROI