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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › Hamburger SV — FC Augsburg

Predictions by Market: Hamburger SV vs FC Augsburg

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
Home · last 5 L L W W D
Kick-off
Sat 04 Apr · 13:30
1:1
Full-time
FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg
W D W W L Away · last 5
Volksparkstadion · Hamburger Referee Deniz Aytekin, Germany

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · HAM
37%
Best 2.45
Draw
25%
Best 3.35
Away Win · AUG
37%
Best 2.88
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 4.00
Fair odds
3.64
book 4.00 · +9.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 27% · EV +9.9%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (73%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 37.4%
Odds 2.34
Show model details
Implied probability 42.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 37.2%
Odds 3.30
Show model details
Implied probability 30.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 25.4%
Odds 3.60
Show model details
Implied probability 27.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 52.4%
Odds 2.08
Show model details
Implied probability 48.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 47.7%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 27.5%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 73.2%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 26.8%
Odds 3.05
Show model details
Implied probability 32.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 8.6%
Odds 12.00
Show model details
Implied probability 8.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 91.4%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 72.5%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 47.7%
Odds 2.25
Show model details
Implied probability 44.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 52.3%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 37.2%
Odds 2.35
Show model details
Implied probability 42.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 37.4%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 62.6%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
HAM – AUG @ 4.00
+9.9%
Edge
Forecast →