P
Prognosist
P
Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › 1. FC Köln — Borussia Mönchengladbach

Predictions by Market: 1. FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
1. FC Köln
1. FC Köln
Home · last 5 D L D L L
Kick-off
Sat 21 Mar · 14:30
3:3
Full-time
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Borussia Mönchengladbach
D D W L W Away · last 5
Referee Sören Storks, Germany

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · KOL
50%
Best 2.30
Draw
26%
Best 3.35
Away Win · MOE
24%
Best 3.10
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 4.35
Fair odds
3.89
book 4.35 · +11.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 26% · EV +11.8%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (74%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 50.3%
Odds 2.39
Show model details
Implied probability 41.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Away Win
Probability 23.8%
Odds 3.15
Show model details
Implied probability 31.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 25.9%
Odds 3.60
Show model details
Implied probability 27.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 50.5%
Odds 2.17
Show model details
Implied probability 46.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 49.6%
Odds 1.86
Show model details
Implied probability 53.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 25.7%
Odds 4.35
Show model details
Implied probability 23%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 71.9%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 28.1%
Odds 3.00
Show model details
Implied probability 33.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 7.8%
Odds 13.40
Show model details
Implied probability 7.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.2%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 74.3%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 46.1%
Odds 2.38
Show model details
Implied probability 42%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 53.9%
Odds 1.64
Show model details
Implied probability 61%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 50.3%
Odds 1.74
Show model details
Implied probability 57.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 23.8%
Odds 2.27
Show model details
Implied probability 44.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 49.7%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 76.2%
Odds 1.41
Show model details
Implied probability 70.9%
Bet quality High

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
KOL – MOE @ 4.35
+11.8%
Edge
Forecast →