1. FC Heidenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen 3:3

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 1.62 — +7.0% better than the market.

Bayer Leverkusen holds a clear quality edge and should leverage their offensive strength against Heidenheim's vulnerable defense. Despite Heidenheim's home ground, their recent form shows struggles, while Leverkusen's steadier results hint at better momentum. The match may see a moderate pace given the balanced over/under odds, favoring Leverkusen's ability to control the game and create chances.

Leverkusen's superior attacking power vs Heidenheim's defense
Home side's poor recent form and low scoring threat
Moderate tempo likely to suit Leverkusen's tactical setup

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Away Win

Away Win @ 1.62 ✗ Lost

AI 66% Implied 62% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

HEI 4-3-3 · BAY 4-2-3-1

HEI · 4-3-3 4-2-3-1 · BAY

10 Conteh

Subs used · HEI

46'

Fohrenbach ↑ ·

Gimber ↓

46'

Niehues ↑ ·

Schoppner ↓

64'

Conteh ↑ ·

Conteh ↓

64'

Pieringer ↑ ·

Kerber ↓

83'

Beck ↑ ·

Dorsch ↓

Subs used · BAY

46'

Terrier ↑ ·

Poku ↓

54'

Tella ↑

82'

Fernandez ↑ ·

Garcia ↓

82'

Oermann ↑ ·

Tillman ↓

87'

Kofane ↑ ·

Andrich ↓

Statistics

HEI 3 – 3 BAY

38%

Possession (%)

62%

1.57

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.62

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

82%

Pass Accuracy (%)

86%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

24 · 3 – 3

22'

⚽

M. Tillman

Assist · A. Garcia · 0–1

Jan Schöppner

Yellow Card

▮

25'

35'

⚽

P. Schick

Assist · A. Grimaldo · 0–2

39'

▮

Patrik Schick

Yellow Card

Half-time · 0 – 2

J. Fohrenbach ↓ · B. Gimber ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

J. Niehues ↓ · J. Schoppner ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

46'

⇄

M. Terrier ↓ · E. Poku ↑

Substitution 1

54'

⇄

N. Tella ↓ ·

Substitution 2

H. Behrens

Assist · M. Busch · 1–2

⚽

56'

Luca Kerber

Yellow Card

▮

63'

S. Conteh ↓ · C. Conteh ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

64'

M. Pieringer ↓ · L. Kerber ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

64'

M. Pieringer (P)

Penalty · 2–2

⚽

72'

74'

▮

Aleix García

Yellow Card

79'

⚽

P. Schick

Assist · A. Grimaldo · 2–3

82'

⇄

E. Fernandez ↓ · A. Garcia ↑

Substitution 3

82'

⇄

T. Oermann ↓ · M. Tillman ↑

Substitution 4

83'

▮

Ibrahim Maza

Yellow Card

A. Beck ↓ · N. Dorsch ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

83'

M. Pieringer

Assist · A. Beck · 3–3

⚽

85'

87'

⇄

C. Kofane ↓ · R. Andrich ↑

Substitution 5

89'

▮

Jarell Quansah

Yellow Card

Adrian Beck

Yellow Card

▮

90'

Marnon Busch

Yellow Card

▮

90+6'

Full-time · 3 – 3

Match recap

1. FC Heidenheim and Bayer Leverkusen drew 3–3. At half-time it was 0–2.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 62% of the ball. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 14 shots to 9, 5 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 5 to 2. For discipline, the referee produced 8 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: M. Tillman (22'), P. Schick (35'), H. Behrens (56'), M. Pieringer (72'), P. Schick (79'), M. Pieringer (85').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.85 units (Brier 0.212).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	1.62	—	66%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.65	—	63%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.52	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.31	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.68	—	56%	Cashed	+0.68	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.45	—	37%	Cashed	+1.45	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	2.46	—	34%	Cashed	+1.46	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.18	—	87%	Cashed	+0.18	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.57	—	58%	Cashed	+0.57	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.25	—	66%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	5.20	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	20.00	—	5%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.03	—	95%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Draw	4.60	—	21%	Cashed	+3.60	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.18	—	80%	Cashed	+0.18	Cashed
Home Win	5.63	—	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	4.21	—	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−0.85u	−5% ROI

1. FC Heidenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen 3:3: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled