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Prognosist
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Home Germany Germany Bundesliga 1. FC Heidenheim — Bayer Leverkusen

Match 1. FC Heidenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen March 21, 2026 — Result and Stats

1. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Heidenheim
Home · last 5 L W D W L
Kick-off
Sat 21 Mar · 14:30
3:3
Full-time
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
L W W L D Away · last 5
Voith-Arena · Heidenheim an der Brenz Referee Robin Braun, Germany
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 66% · book 1.62
Miss
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 63% · book 1.65
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 42% · book 2.52
Total goals
6
3 · 3
xG (open play)
1.57 – 1.62
Δ −0.05
Possession
38% – 62%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Bayer Leverkusen holds a clear quality edge and should leverage their offensive strength against Heidenheim's vulnerable defense. Despite Heidenheim's home ground, their recent form shows struggles, while Leverkusen's steadier results hint at better momentum. The match may see a moderate pace given the balanced over/under odds, favoring Leverkusen's ability to control the game and create chances.

  • Leverkusen's superior attacking power vs Heidenheim's defense
  • Home side's poor recent form and low scoring threat
  • Moderate tempo likely to suit Leverkusen's tactical setup

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

HEI 4-3-3 · BAY 4-2-3-1
Subs used · HEI
46' Fohrenbach ↑ · Gimber
46' Niehues ↑ · Schoppner
64' Conteh ↑ · Conteh
64' Pieringer ↑ · Kerber
83' Beck ↑ · Dorsch
Subs used · BAY
46' Terrier ↑ · Poku
54' Tella
82' Fernandez ↑ · Garcia
82' Oermann ↑ · Tillman
87' Kofane ↑ · Andrich

📊 Statistics

HEI 33 BAY
38%
Possession (%)
62%
1.57
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.62
9
Total Shots
14
5
Shots on Target
5
3
Shots off Target
4
7
Shots Inside Box
10
2
Corner Kicks
5
1
Offsides
0
11
Fouls
12
82%
Pass Accuracy (%)
86%
4
Yellow Cards
4
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

24 · 3 – 3
22'
M. Tillman
Assist · A. Garcia · 0–1
Jan Schöppner
Yellow Card
25'
35'
P. Schick
Assist · A. Grimaldo · 0–2
39'
Patrik Schick
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 2
J. Fohrenbach ↓ · B. Gimber ↑
Substitution 1
46'
J. Niehues ↓ · J. Schoppner ↑
Substitution 2
46'
46'
M. Terrier ↓ · E. Poku ↑
Substitution 1
54'
N. Tella ↓ ·
Substitution 2
H. Behrens
Assist · M. Busch · 1–2
56'
Luca Kerber
Yellow Card
63'
S. Conteh ↓ · C. Conteh ↑
Substitution 3
64'
M. Pieringer ↓ · L. Kerber ↑
Substitution 4
64'
M. Pieringer (P)
Penalty · 2–2
72'
74'
Aleix García
Yellow Card
79'
P. Schick
Assist · A. Grimaldo · 2–3
82'
E. Fernandez ↓ · A. Garcia ↑
Substitution 3
82'
T. Oermann ↓ · M. Tillman ↑
Substitution 4
83'
Ibrahim Maza
Yellow Card
A. Beck ↓ · N. Dorsch ↑
Substitution 5
83'
M. Pieringer
Assist · A. Beck · 3–3
85'
87'
C. Kofane ↓ · R. Andrich ↑
Substitution 5
89'
Jarell Quansah
Yellow Card
Adrian Beck
Yellow Card
90'
Marnon Busch
Yellow Card
90+6'
Full-time · 3 – 3

Match recap

1. FC Heidenheim and Bayer Leverkusen drew 3–3. At half-time it was 0–2.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 62% of the ball. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 14 shots to 9, 5 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 5 to 2. For discipline, the referee produced 8 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: M. Tillman (22'), P. Schick (35'), H. Behrens (56'), M. Pieringer (72'), P. Schick (79'), M. Pieringer (85').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.85 units (Brier 0.212).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 1.62 66% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.65 63% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.52 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.31 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.68 56% Cashed +0.68 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.45 37% Cashed +1.45 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 2.46 34% Cashed +1.46 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.18 87% Cashed +0.18 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.57 58% Cashed +0.57 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.25 66% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 5.20 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 20.00 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.03 95% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Draw 4.60 21% Cashed +3.60 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.18 80% Cashed +0.18 Cashed
Home Win 5.63 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 4.21 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −0.85u −5% ROI