Match VfL Wolfsburg vs Werder Bremen March 21, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.25 — +14.0% better than the market.

VfL Wolfsburg hosts Werder Bremen with a clear quality edge, especially in defense, which could stifle Bremen's attack. Wolfsburg’s home form is shaky, but their defensive solidity at Volkswagen Arena offers a pressing edge. Bremen’s recent form shows signs of struggle, and their defensive frailties may be exploited by Wolfsburg’s sharper offensive moves. Expect a cautious pace with moderate goal potential given the balanced over/under odds.

Wolfsburg’s defensive strength vs Bremen’s attack
Home momentum despite recent draws
Moderate tempo suggested by goal market

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 2.25 ✓ Cashed

AI 51% Implied 44% +1.25u

+125%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

WOL 3-4-2-1 · WER 4-2-3-1

WOL · 3-4-2-1 4-2-3-1 · WER

23 Wind

Subs used · WOL

64'

Wimmer ↑ ·

Lindstrom ↓

73'

Majer ↑ ·

Amoura ↓

73'

Shiogai ↑ ·

Wind ↓

79'

Arnold ↑ ·

Souza ↓

79'

Daghim ↑ ·

Maehle ↓

Subs used · WER

61'

Agu ↑ ·

Mbangula ↓

61'

Coulibaly ↑ ·

Stark ↓

85'

Musah ↑ ·

Njinmah ↓

90+6'

Schmetgens ↑ ·

Bittencourt ↓

📊 Statistics

WOL 0 – 1 WER

57%

Possession (%)

43%

0.76

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.37

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

83%

Pass Accuracy (%)

81%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

14 · 0 – 1

Moritz Jenz

Yellow Card

▮

39'

Half-time · 0 – 0

61'

⇄

F. Agu ↓ · S. Mbangula ↑

Substitution 1

61'

⇄

K. Coulibaly ↓ · N. Stark ↑

Substitution 2

P. Wimmer ↓ · J. Lindstrom ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

64'

68'

⚽

J. Njinmah

0–1

L. Majer ↓ · M. Amoura ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

73'

K. Shiogai ↓ · J. Wind ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

73'

M. Arnold ↓ · Vini Souza ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

79'

A. Daghim ↓ · J. Maehle ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

79'

85'

⇄

S. Musah ↓ · J. Njinmah ↑

Substitution 3

Moritz Jenz

Yellow Card

▮

90+2'

Moritz Jenz

Red Card

▮

90+2'

Lovro Majer

Yellow Card

▮

90+5'

90+6'

⇄

M. Schmetgens ↓ · L. Bittencourt ↑

Substitution 4

Full-time · 0 – 1

Match recap

Werder Bremen won 1–0 away at VfL Wolfsburg. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 57% of the ball. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 8 to 4. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: J. Njinmah (68'). Moritz Jenz was sent off in the 90+2' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +1.40 units (Brier 0.274).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	2.52	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.47	—	47%	Cashed	+1.47	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.25	—	51%	Cashed	+1.25	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.85	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.77	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.62	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.60	—	52%	Cashed	+0.60	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.10	—	27%	Cashed	+1.10	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.48	—	73%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.47	—	72%	Cashed	+0.47	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.60	—	26%	Cashed	+3.60	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.82	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.86	—	27%	Cashed	+1.86	Cashed
Under 0.5	15.00	—	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	—	92%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Draw	3.75	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.24	—	74%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+1.40u	+8% ROI

Match VfL Wolfsburg vs Werder Bremen March 21, 2026 — Result and Stats

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.25 — +14.0% better than the market.

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled