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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › Union Berlin — Werder Bremen

Predictions by Market: Union Berlin vs Werder Bremen

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
Union Berlin
Union Berlin
Home · last 5 L L D W W
Kick-off
Sun 08 Mar · 16:30
1:4
Full-time
Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen
W D L L L Away · last 5
An der Alten Försterei · Berlin Referee Timo Gerach, Germany

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · UNI
52%
Best 2.37
Draw
27%
Best 3.25
Away Win · WER
22%
Best 3.15
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 3.45
Fair odds
3.14
book 3.45 · +9.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 32% · EV +9.9%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (68%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 51.8%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 26.6%
Odds 3.46
Show model details
Implied probability 28.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 21.6%
Odds 3.44
Show model details
Implied probability 29.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 57.9%
Odds 1.86
Show model details
Implied probability 53.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 42.2%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 31.9%
Odds 3.45
Show model details
Implied probability 29%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 10.4%
Odds 10.00
Show model details
Implied probability 10%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 77.5%
Odds 1.32
Show model details
Implied probability 75.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 89.6%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 68.1%
Odds 1.35
Show model details
Implied probability 74.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 22.5%
Odds 3.55
Show model details
Implied probability 28.2%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Top pick
Probability 52.8%
Odds 2.02
Show model details
Implied probability 49.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 47.2%
Odds 1.84
Show model details
Implied probability 54.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 51.8%
Odds 1.61
Show model details
Implied probability 62.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 21.6%
Odds 2.45
Show model details
Implied probability 40.8%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 48.2%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 78.4%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
UNI – WER @ 3.45
+9.9%
Edge
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