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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › Borussia Dortmund — Bayern München

Match Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern München February 28, 2026

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
Home · last 5 L W L W W
Kick-off
Sat 28 Feb · 17:30
2:3
Full-time
Bayern München
Bayern München
W W D W W Away · last 5
Referee Sven Jablonski, Germany
Hit
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 63% · book 1.88 ✓
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 65% · book 1.68 ✓
Miss
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 35% · book 2.37 ✗
Total goals
5
2 · 3
xG (open play)
1.04 – 2.05
Δ −1.01
Possession
33% – 67%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Bayern München enter this clash with a clear quality edge, boasting a stronger attack and defense compared to Borussia Dortmund. Despite Dortmund's home momentum and recent solid form, Bayern's offensive firepower and tactical discipline suggest they can control the game. The pace is likely brisk, with both sides pushing forward, hinting at a high-scoring encounter.

  • Bayern's superior attacking threat challenges Dortmund's defense.
  • Dortmund's home form provides resilience and pressing intensity.
  • Expect a dynamic tempo favoring goal opportunities for both teams.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

DOR 3-4-2-1 · BAY 4-2-3-1
DOR · 3-4-2-1 4-2-3-1 · BAY 1 Kobel 23 Can 3 Anton 4 Schlotterbeck ⚽ 2 Couto 20 Sabitzer 8 Nmecha 24 Svensson ⚽ 14 Beier 27 Adeyemi 21 Silva 40 Urbig 44 Stanišić 2 Upamecano 4 Tah 27 Laimer 6 Kimmich ⚽ 45 Pavlović 17 Olise 7 Gnabry 14 Díaz 9 Kane ⚽
Subs used · DOR
45+5' Bensebaini ↑ · Can ↓
67' Guirassy ↑ · Silva ↓
75' Bellingham ↑ · Nmecha ↓
75' Brandt ↑ · Adeyemi ↓
75' Inacio ↑ · Beier ↓
Subs used · BAY
62' Musiala ↑ · Gnabry ↓
90+2' Min-Jae ↑ · Olise ↓
90+2' Goretzka ↑ · Kimmich ↓
90' Bischof ↑ · Laimer ↓

📊 Statistics

DOR 2 – 3 BAY
33%
Possession (%)
67%
1.04
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
2.05
10
Total Shots
14
2
Shots on Target
6
3
Shots off Target
4
8
Shots Inside Box
9
5
Corner Kicks
2
3
Offsides
1
15
Fouls
10
72%
Pass Accuracy (%)
87%
1
Yellow Cards
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
0

⏱ Match events

15 · 2 – 3
Nico Schlotterbeck
Yellow Card
▮
20'
N. Schlotterbeck
Assist · D. Svensson · 1–0
⚽
26'
R. Bensebaini ↓ · E. Can ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
45+5'
Half-time · 1 – 0
54'
⚽
H. Kane
Assist · S. Gnabry · 1–1
62'
⇄
J. Musiala ↓ · S. Gnabry ↑
Substitution 1
S. Guirassy ↓ · F. Silva ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
67'
70'
⚽
H. Kane (P)
Penalty · 1–2
J. Bellingham ↓ · F. Nmecha ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
75'
J. Brandt ↓ · K. Adeyemi ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
75'
S. Inacio ↓ · M. Beier ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
75'
D. Svensson
Assist · M. Sabitzer · 2–2
⚽
83'
87'
⚽
J. Kimmich
2–3
90'
⇄
T. Bischof ↓ · K. Laimer ↑
Substitution 4
90+2'
⇄
Kim Min-Jae ↓ · M. Olise ↑
Substitution 2
90+2'
⇄
L. Goretzka ↓ · J. Kimmich ↑
Substitution 3
Full-time · 2 – 3

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 3.5 1.88 — 63% Cashed +0.88 Cashed
Away Win 1.68 — 65% Cashed +0.68 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 2.37 — 35% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 2.09 — 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.35 — 80% Cashed +0.35 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.23 — 85% Cashed +0.23 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.40 — 74% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.30 — 65% Cashed +0.30 Cashed
BTTS No 3.17 — 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.10 — 92% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.02 — 98% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Draw 4.90 — 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 4.78 — 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 3.50 — 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 8.00 — 8% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 26.00 — 2% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 3.78 — 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −6.04u −36% ROI