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Prognosist
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Home England Premier League Newcastle — Arsenal

Predictions Newcastle vs Arsenal September 28, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

Newcastle
Newcastle
Home · last 5 L W D W L
Kick-off
Sun 28 Sep · 15:30
1:2
Full-time
Arsenal
Arsenal
W W W W W Away · last 5
St. James' Park · Newcastle upon Tyne Referee Jarred Gillett, Australia
Home Win · NEW
25%
Best 3.65
Draw
27%
Best 3.30
Away Win · ARS
49%
Best 2.10
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 1.38
Fair odds
1.32
book 1.38 · +4.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
p 76% · EV +4.0%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win
Probability 24.5%
Odds 3.37
Show model details
Implied probability 29.7%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 27%
Odds 3.62
Show model details
Implied probability 27.6%
Bet quality Low
Away Win Best in group
Probability 48.5%
Odds 2.27
Show model details
Implied probability 44.1%
Bet quality Medium
Totals 1 market
Under 2.5 Top pick
Probability 55%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality Medium
Team Totals 2 markets
Home Team Total Under 0.5
Probability 40%
Odds 2.88
Show model details
Implied probability 34.7%
Bet quality Medium
Away Team Total Over 0.5 Top pick
Probability 70%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS 1 market
BTTS Yes Top pick
Probability 58%
Odds 1.82
Show model details
Implied probability 54.9%
Bet quality Medium
Asian Handicap 1 market
AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 62%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Medium
Other Markets 1 market
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 75.5%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.