P
Prognosist
P
Home Germany Germany Bundesliga FC St. Pauli — Werder Bremen

Predictions FC St. Pauli vs Werder Bremen February 22, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
Home · last 5 D L L L L
Kick-off
Sun 22 Feb · 16:30
2:1
Full-time
Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen
W D L L L Away · last 5
Millerntor-Stadion · Hamburg Referee Sören Storks, Germany
Home Win · PAU
34%
Best 2.65
Draw
28%
Best 3.13
Away Win · WER
39%
Best 2.79
Value pick
Under 0.5
@ 8.50
Fair odds
7.53
book 8.50 · +12.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 13% · EV +12.8%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 0.5 is more likely (87%), but Under 0.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Best in group
Probability 38.8%
Odds 2.84
Show model details
Implied probability 35.2%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win
Probability 33.6%
Odds 2.87
Show model details
Implied probability 34.8%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 27.6%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 65.1%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality High
Over 2.5
Probability 34.9%
Odds 2.40
Show model details
Implied probability 41.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 38.5%
Odds 3.00
Show model details
Implied probability 33.3%
Bet quality Medium
Over 1.5
Probability 61.5%
Odds 1.45
Show model details
Implied probability 69%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 13.3%
Odds 8.50
Show model details
Implied probability 11.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 83.3%
Odds 1.23
Show model details
Implied probability 81.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 86.7%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 16.8%
Odds 4.50
Show model details
Implied probability 22.2%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Value pick
Probability 58.1%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality High
BTTS Yes
Probability 41.9%
Odds 1.98
Show model details
Implied probability 50.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 38.8%
Odds 1.97
Show model details
Implied probability 50.8%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0
Probability 33.6%
Odds 1.97
Show model details
Implied probability 50.8%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 66.4%
Odds 1.48
Show model details
Implied probability 67.6%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X
Probability 61.2%
Odds 1.48
Show model details
Implied probability 67.6%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 0.5
PAU – WER @ 8.50
+12.8%
Edge
Forecast →