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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › FC St. Pauli — Werder Bremen

Predictions by Market: FC St. Pauli vs Werder Bremen

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
Home · last 5 D L L L L
Kick-off
Sun 22 Feb · 16:30
2:1
Full-time
Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen
W D L L L Away · last 5
Millerntor-Stadion · Hamburg Referee Sören Storks, Germany

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · PAU
34%
Best 2.65
Draw
28%
Best 3.13
Away Win · WER
39%
Best 2.79
Value pick
Under 0.5
@ 8.50
Fair odds
7.53
book 8.50 · +12.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 13% · EV +12.8%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 0.5 is more likely (87%), but Under 0.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 38.8%
Odds 2.84
Show model details
Implied probability 35.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win
Probability 33.6%
Odds 2.87
Show model details
Implied probability 34.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 27.6%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 65.1%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality High
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 34.9%
Odds 2.40
Show model details
Implied probability 41.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 38.5%
Odds 3.00
Show model details
Implied probability 33.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 61.5%
Odds 1.45
Show model details
Implied probability 69%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 13.3%
Odds 8.50
Show model details
Implied probability 11.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 83.3%
Odds 1.23
Show model details
Implied probability 81.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 86.7%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 16.8%
Odds 4.50
Show model details
Implied probability 22.2%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Value pick
Probability 58.1%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality High
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 41.9%
Odds 1.98
Show model details
Implied probability 50.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 38.8%
Odds 1.97
Show model details
Implied probability 50.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 33.6%
Odds 1.97
Show model details
Implied probability 50.8%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 66.4%
Odds 1.48
Show model details
Implied probability 67.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 61.2%
Odds 1.48
Show model details
Implied probability 67.6%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 0.5
PAU – WER @ 8.50
+12.8%
Edge
Forecast →