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Home Germany Germany Bundesliga Hamburger SV — Union Berlin

Predictions Hamburger SV vs Union Berlin February 14, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
Home · last 5 L L W W D
Kick-off
Sat 14 Feb · 14:30
3:2
Full-time
Union Berlin
Union Berlin
L L D W W Away · last 5
Volksparkstadion · Hamburg Referee Florian Badstubner, Germany
Home Win · HAM
31%
Best 2.40
Draw
28%
Best 3.10
Away Win · UNI
42%
Best 3.15
Value pick
BTTS No
@ 2.02
Fair odds
1.98
book 2.02 · +1.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 50% · EV +1.8%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win
Probability 30.7%
Odds 2.61
Show model details
Implied probability 38.3%
Bet quality Low
Away Win Best in group
Probability 41.7%
Odds 3.03
Show model details
Implied probability 33%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 27.6%
Odds 3.35
Show model details
Implied probability 29.9%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 56.1%
Odds 1.81
Show model details
Implied probability 55.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 43.9%
Odds 2.17
Show model details
Implied probability 46.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 30.5%
Odds 3.29
Show model details
Implied probability 30.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 76.4%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 90.1%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 69.5%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 9.9%
Odds 9.50
Show model details
Implied probability 10.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 23.7%
Odds 3.75
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 50.4%
Odds 2.02
Show model details
Implied probability 49.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 49.6%
Odds 1.84
Show model details
Implied probability 54.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 41.7%
Odds 2.11
Show model details
Implied probability 47.4%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0
Probability 30.7%
Odds 1.84
Show model details
Implied probability 54.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 69.3%
Odds 1.56
Show model details
Implied probability 64.1%
Bet quality High
Double Chance 1X
Probability 58.3%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.