RB Leipzig vs VfL Wolfsburg 2:2 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 1.51 — +4.8% better than the market.

RB Leipzig enter this clash with clear home momentum, showing a stronger overall quality and a pressing edge in attack against Wolfsburg's defense. Their recent form suggests resilience, while Wolfsburg struggles to find consistency on the road. Expect Leipzig's compact block and set-piece threat to challenge Wolfsburg’s less robust defensive line.

Home advantage with solid defensive shape
Leipzig's attacking pressure vs Wolfsburg's defensive frailties
Higher recent points per game and better offensive output

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 1.51 ✗ Lost

AI 69% Implied 66% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

LEI 4-2-3-1 · WOL 4-2-3-1

LEI · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · WOL

11 Harder

Subs used · LEI

29'

Vandevoordt ↑ ·

Gulacsi ↓

63'

Baku ↑ ·

Henrichs ↓

63'

Cardoso ↑ ·

Harder ↓

82'

Lukeba ↑ ·

Seiwald ↓

82'

Bakayoko ↑ ·

Nusa ↓

Subs used · WOL

60'

Svanberg ↑ ·

Shiogai ↓

83'

Koulierakis ↑ ·

Amoura ↓

84'

Pejcinovic ↑ ·

Majer ↓

90+5'

Adjetey ↑ ·

Daghim ↓

Statistics

LEI 2 – 2 WOL

68%

Possession (%)

32%

2.62

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.59

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Fouls

88%

Pass Accuracy (%)

77%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

16 · 2 – 2

-5'

▮

Marius Müller

Yellow Card

M. Vandevoordt ↓ · P. Gulacsi ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

29'

Half-time · 0 – 0

48'

▮

Saël Kumbedi

Yellow Card

52'

⚽

M. Amoura

Assist · A. Daghim · 0–1

60'

⇄

M. Svanberg ↓ · K. Shiogai ↑

Substitution 1

Xaver Schlager

Yellow Card

▮

63'

R. Baku ↓ · B. Henrichs ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

63'

Romulo Cardoso ↓ · C. Harder ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

63'

Y. Diomande

Assist · B. Gruda · 1–1

⚽

70'

78'

⚽

M. Svanberg

Assist · J. Belocian · 1–2

C. Lukeba ↓ · N. Seiwald ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

82'

J. Bakayoko ↓ · A. Nusa ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

82'

83'

⇄

K. Koulierakis ↓ · M. Amoura ↑

Substitution 2

84'

⇄

D. Pejcinovic ↓ · L. Majer ↑

Substitution 3

B. Gruda

2–2

⚽

89'

90+5'

⇄

J. Adjetey ↓ · A. Daghim ↑

Substitution 4

Full-time · 2 – 2

Match recap

RB Leipzig and VfL Wolfsburg drew 2–2. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 68% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 88% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.62 to 0.59. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 10, 10 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 2. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 8 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: M. Amoura (52'), Y. Diomande (70'), M. Svanberg (78'), B. Gruda (89').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.76 units (Brier 0.190).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 3.5	1.88	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.07	—	47%	Cashed	+1.07	Cashed
BTTS No	2.55	—	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	2.76	—	31%	Cashed	+1.76	Cashed
Home Win	1.51	—	69%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.16	—	89%	Cashed	+0.16	Cashed
Under 2.5	3.10	—	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.55	—	63%	Cashed	+0.55	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.42	—	68%	Cashed	+0.42	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.18	—	69%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	5.13	—	19%	Cashed	+4.13	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.02	—	96%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.13	—	86%	Cashed	+0.13	Cashed
Under 1.5	7.00	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	24.00	—	4%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	6.50	—	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	4.65	—	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−0.76u	−4% ROI

RB Leipzig vs VfL Wolfsburg 2:2: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled