Tottenham arrives with a strong home presence and a positive recent run, while Wolves are struggling significantly on the road with a poor sequence of results. Tottenham’s attacking and defensive balance, combined with their home advantage, suggests a clear edge. The model favors a home win with a comfortable margin and expects goals to be scored, but not an excessively high-scoring game. The best value lies in backing Tottenham to win and the match to have over 2.5 goals. Double chance on Tottenham or draw offers a safer alternative. Wolves’ chances to score are limited, so BTTS Yes is less appealing despite the odds.
Post-match · 90 sec read
⛀ Lineups
TOT 4-2-3-1 · WOL 4-2-3-1📊 Statistics
TOT 1 – 1 WOL51%
Possession (%)
49%
0.87
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
1.15
10
Total Shots
9
3
Shots on Target
3
5
Shots off Target
5
7
Shots Inside Box
6
10
Corner Kicks
9
2
Offsides
0
9
Fouls
11
82%
Pass Accuracy (%)
81%
3
Yellow Cards
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2
⏱ Match events
17 · 1 – 1Xavi Simons
Yellow Card
32'
35'
▮
Matt Doherty
Yellow Card
39'
▮
João Gomes
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 0
46'
⇄
Jackson Tchatchoua ↓ · Hee-Chan Hwang ↑
Substitution 1
46'
⇄
Emmanuel Agbadou ↓ · Matt Doherty ↑
Substitution 2
54'
⚽
Santiago Bueno
0–1
Brennan Johnson ↓ · Rodrigo Bentancur ↑
Substitution 1
62'
Pedro Porro ↓ · Djed Spence ↑
Substitution 2
63'
64'
⇄
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde ↓ · João Gomes ↑
Substitution 3
Lucas Bergvall
Yellow Card
65'
Wilson Odobert ↓ · Xavi Simons ↑
Substitution 3
78'
Pape Matar Sarr ↓ · Lucas Bergvall ↑
Substitution 4
78'
Mathys Tel ↓ · Destiny Udogie ↑
Substitution 5
84'
84'
⇄
Tolu Arokodare ↓ · Jørgen Strand Larsen ↑
Substitution 4
90'
⇄
Toti Gomes ↓ · Jhon Arias ↑
Substitution 5
João Palhinha
Assist · Pape Matar Sarr · 1–1
90+4'
João Palhinha
Yellow Card
90+4'
Full-time · 1 – 1
Match recap
Tottenham and Wolves drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–0.
For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.
On the scoresheet: Santiago Bueno (54'), João Palhinha (90+4').
Model audit for this match: of 9 graded markets, 4 landed and 5 missed, for a net +0.07 units (Brier 0.312).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
9 · 4 W · 5 L| Market | Odds | Closed | AI | Result | P/L · 1u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1.74 | — | 58% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| BTTS Yes | 1.87 | — | 40% | Cashed | +0.87 | Cashed |
| Double Chance 1X | 1.15 | — | 85% | Cashed | +0.15 | Cashed |
| AH Home 0 | 1.20 | — | 75% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| AH Home -0.5 | 1.50 | — | 60% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Home Team Total Over 0.5 | 1.12 | — | 90% | Cashed | +0.12 | Cashed |
| Home Win | 1.53 | — | 69% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Draw | 4.93 | — | 18% | Cashed | +3.93 | Cashed |
| Away Win | 6.76 | — | 14% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Total · 9 markets @ 1u each | — | — | — | 4 W · 5 L | +0.07u | +1% ROI |