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Home › England › Premier League › Tottenham — Wolves

Tottenham vs Wolves 1:1: Match Review & Stats

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Tottenham
Tottenham
Home · last 5 W W D L W
Kick-off
Sat 27 Sep · 19:00
1:1
Full-time
Wolves
Wolves
L D L D D Away · last 5
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium · London Referee Michael Salisbury, England
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 58% · book 1.74 ✗
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 40% · book 1.87 ✓
Hit
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 85% · book 1.15 ✓
Total goals
2
1 · 1
xG (open play)
0.87 – 1.15
Δ −0.28
Possession
51% – 49%
AI accuracy
4 / 9
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 1.53 — +5.0% better than the market.

Tottenham arrives with a strong home presence and a positive recent run, while Wolves are struggling significantly on the road with a poor sequence of results. Tottenham’s attacking and defensive balance, combined with their home advantage, suggests a clear edge. The model favors a home win with a comfortable margin and expects goals to be scored, but not an excessively high-scoring game. The best value lies in backing Tottenham to win and the match to have over 2.5 goals. Double chance on Tottenham or draw offers a safer alternative. Wolves’ chances to score are limited, so BTTS Yes is less appealing despite the odds.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Home Win
Home Win @ 1.53 ✗ Lost
AI 69% Implied 65% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

TOT 4-2-3-1 · WOL 4-2-3-1
Subs used · TOT
62' Johnson ↑ · Bentancur ↓
63' Porro ↑ · Spence ↓
78' Odobert ↑ · Simons ↓
78' Sarr ↑ · Bergvall ↓
84' Tel ↑ · Udogie ↓
Subs used · WOL
46' Tchatchoua ↑ · Hwang ↓
46' Agbadou ↑ · Doherty ↓
64' Bellegarde ↑ · Gomes ↓
84' Arokodare ↑ · Larsen ↓
90' Gomes ↑ · Arias ↓

Statistics

TOT 1 – 1 WOL
51%
Possession (%)
49%
0.87
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.15
10
Total Shots
9
3
Shots on Target
3
5
Shots off Target
5
7
Shots Inside Box
6
10
Corner Kicks
9
2
Offsides
0
9
Fouls
11
82%
Pass Accuracy (%)
81%
3
Yellow Cards
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

17 · 1 – 1
Xavi Simons
Yellow Card
▮
32'
35'
▮
Matt Doherty
Yellow Card
39'
▮
João Gomes
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 0
46'
⇄
Jackson Tchatchoua ↓ · Hee-Chan Hwang ↑
Substitution 1
46'
⇄
Emmanuel Agbadou ↓ · Matt Doherty ↑
Substitution 2
54'
⚽
Santiago Bueno
0–1
Brennan Johnson ↓ · Rodrigo Bentancur ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
62'
Pedro Porro ↓ · Djed Spence ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
63'
64'
⇄
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde ↓ · João Gomes ↑
Substitution 3
Lucas Bergvall
Yellow Card
▮
65'
Wilson Odobert ↓ · Xavi Simons ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
78'
Pape Matar Sarr ↓ · Lucas Bergvall ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
78'
Mathys Tel ↓ · Destiny Udogie ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
84'
84'
⇄
Tolu Arokodare ↓ · Jørgen Strand Larsen ↑
Substitution 4
90'
⇄
Toti Gomes ↓ · Jhon Arias ↑
Substitution 5
João Palhinha
Assist · Pape Matar Sarr · 1–1
⚽
90+4'
João Palhinha
Yellow Card
▮
90+4'
Full-time · 1 – 1

Match recap

Tottenham and Wolves drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–0.

For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Santiago Bueno (54'), João Palhinha (90+4').

Model audit for this match: of 9 graded markets, 4 landed and 5 missed, for a net +0.07 units (Brier 0.312).

Bet recap · markets settled

9 · 4 W · 5 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 2.5 1.74 — 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.87 — 40% Cashed +0.87 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.15 — 85% Cashed +0.15 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.20 — 75% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home -0.5 1.50 — 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Team Total Over 0.5 1.12 — 90% Cashed +0.12 Cashed
Home Win 1.53 — 69% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 4.93 — 18% Cashed +3.93 Cashed
Away Win 6.76 — 14% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 9 markets @ 1u each — — — 4 W · 5 L +0.07u +1% ROI
Value pick of the night · Home Win
TOT – WOL @ 1.53
+5.0%
Edge
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