Match 1. FC Heidenheim vs RB Leipzig January 24, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.71 — +8.6% better than the market.

RB Leipzig enter this clash with a clear quality edge and better recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand. Their stronger attack should test Heidenheim’s defense, which has struggled lately. Despite Heidenheim’s home comfort, Leipzig’s pressing and tactical discipline could limit chances, hinting at a controlled, possibly low-scoring game.

Leipzig’s offensive edge against Heidenheim’s defense
Heidenheim’s recent form lacks momentum
Potential for a compact, tactical battle with moderate pace

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5

Under 3.5 @ 1.71 ✓ Cashed

AI 64% Implied 58% +0.71u

+71%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

HEI 4-2-3-1 · LEI 4-3-3

HEI · 4-2-3-1 4-3-3 · LEI

18 Pieringer

Subs used · HEI

63'

Conteh ↑ ·

Ibrahimovic ↓

63'

Schimmer ↑ ·

Beck ↓

77'

Behrens ↑ ·

Honsak ↓

77'

Kerber ↑ ·

Pieringer ↓

84'

Niehues ↑ ·

Schoppner ↓

Subs used · LEI

71'

Banzuzi ↑ ·

Nusa ↓

72'

Gomis ↑ ·

Baumgartner ↓

77'

Finkgrafe ↑ ·

Raum ↓

77'

Maksimovic ↑ ·

Bitshiabu ↓

90'

Henrichs ↑ ·

Baku ↓

📊 Statistics

HEI 0 – 3 LEI

26%

Possession (%)

74%

1.26

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.69

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

69%

Pass Accuracy (%)

90%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

14 · 0 – 3

Half-time · 0 – 0

62'

⚽

R. Baku

Assist · Y. Diomande · 0–1

S. Conteh ↓ · A. Ibrahimovic ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

63'

S. Schimmer ↓ · A. Beck ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

63'

68'

⚽

A. Nusa

Assist · N. Seiwald · 0–2

70'

⚽

D. Raum

Assist · Y. Diomande · 0–3

71'

⇄

E. Banzuzi ↓ · A. Nusa ↑

Substitution 1

72'

⇄

T. Gomis ↓ · C. Baumgartner ↑

Substitution 2

H. Behrens ↓ · M. Honsak ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

77'

L. Kerber ↓ · M. Pieringer ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

77'

⇄

M. Finkgrafe ↓ · D. Raum ↑

Substitution 3

77'

⇄

A. Maksimovic ↓ · E. Bitshiabu ↑

Substitution 4

J. Niehues ↓ · J. Schoppner ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

84'

Benedikt Gimber

Yellow Card

▮

89'

90'

⇄

B. Henrichs ↓ · R. Baku ↑

Substitution 5

Full-time · 0 – 3

Match recap

RB Leipzig won 3–0 away at 1. FC Heidenheim. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 74% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 90% of their passes. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 11 shots to 7, 7 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 4 to 0. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves.

On the scoresheet: R. Baku (62'), A. Nusa (68'), D. Raum (70').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.04 units (Brier 0.106).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 3.5	1.71	—	64%	Cashed	+0.71	Cashed
Away Win	1.64	—	66%	Cashed	+0.64	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.63	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.44	—	43%	Cashed	+1.44	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.32	—	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	2.44	—	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	6.00	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.19	—	87%	Cashed	+0.19	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.59	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.52	—	58%	Cashed	+0.52	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.26	—	66%	Cashed	+0.26	Cashed
Under 0.5	19.50	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.03	—	95%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Draw	4.62	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.17	—	80%	Cashed	+0.17	Cashed
Home Win	5.60	—	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	4.09	—	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−5.04u	−30% ROI