Aarhus vs Sonderjyske 2:1 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.63 — +5.1% better than the market.

Aarhus enters this clash with a clear quality edge and home momentum, showing resilience in recent matches. Their defensive solidity contrasts with Sonderjyske's struggles at the back, giving Aarhus a pressing edge. The home side's attack is well-matched against the visitors' defense, suggesting control in key phases.

Strong home form and defensive compactness
Superior offensive matchup against away defense
Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5

Under 3.5 @ 1.63 ✓ Cashed

AI 64% Implied 61% +0.63u

+63%

ROI on stake

Lineups

AAR 3-4-2-1 · SON 4-2-3-1

AAR · 3-4-2-1 4-2-3-1 · SON

9 Mortensen

Statistics

AAR 2 – 1 SON

62%

Possession (%)

38%

1.71

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.06

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

89%

Pass Accuracy (%)

80%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Aarhus beat Sonderjyske 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 62% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 89% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.71 to 1.06. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 11, 9 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 9 to 5.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -6.43 units (Brier 0.090).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 3.5	1.63	—	64%	Cashed	+0.63	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.42	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.25	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.60	—	55%	Cashed	+0.60	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.63	—	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.23	—	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.48	—	68%	Cashed	+0.48	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.85	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.13	—	88%	Cashed	+0.13	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.45	—	57%	Cashed	+0.45	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.15	—	68%	Cashed	+0.15	Cashed
Under 0.5	14.90	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.02	—	93%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Draw	4.55	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.11	—	79%	Cashed	+0.11	Cashed
Away Win	5.81	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	4.25	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−6.43u	−38% ROI

Aarhus vs Sonderjyske 2:1: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled