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Home › Denmark › Superliga › Aarhus — Sonderjyske

Prediction: Aarhus vs Sonderjyske, October 12

Denmark   /   Superliga Value pick inside
Aarhus
Aarhus
Home · last 5 L L D L D
Kick-off
Mon 12 Oct · 17:00
—:—
Pre-match · scheduled
Sonderjyske
Sonderjyske
L L L D W Away · last 5
Vejlby Stadion · Aarhus Referee Mads-Kristoffer Kristoffersen

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · AAR
55%
Best 1.59
Draw
22%
Best 4.50
Away Win · SON
23%
Best 5.25

Model verdict

Model leans toward Aarhus to win — 55% probability.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 55% Aarhus win
Over/Under 2.5 53% Over 2.5
BTTS 51% Yes
Double Chance 77% 1X
  • 1X2 Aarhus win 55%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 53%
  • BTTS Yes 51%
  • Double Chance 1X 77%
Open betting analysis

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Aarhus
W/D/L 0-2-3
Goals (for / against) 5 / 10
Avg goals / match 3.0
Scored in 3/5
Clean sheets 0/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 3/5
Home (W-D-L) 0-1-1
Away (W-D-L) 0-1-2
xG (for / against) 1.69 / 0.84
Sonderjyske
W/D/L 1-1-3
Goals (for / against) 8 / 14
Avg goals / match 4.4
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 0/5
Both teams scored 4/5
Over 2.5 4/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-0-2
Away (W-D-L) 0-1-1
xG (for / against) 0.99 / 2.29

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
1.22
Goals Scored
1.33
1.89
Goals Conceded
2.33
0.95
Expected Goals (xG)
0.59
4.22
Shots on Target
3.89
7.11
Corners
4.44
55.78
Possession (%)
39.56
90.49
Efficiency index
105.16
85.08
Adjusted index
85.17
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
50
OFF · home
67
58
DEF · home
8
25
OFF · away
0
58
DEF · away
50
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

Scenario insights

①
Aarhus wins when scoring first
—
①
Sonderjyske wins when scoring first
—
⚽
Aarhus BTTS rate · last 10
70%
⚽
Sonderjyske BTTS rate · last 10
70%
↑
Aarhus Over 2.5 · last 10
80%
↑
Sonderjyske Over 2.5 · last 10
70%
↩
Aarhus comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
Sonderjyske comeback rate · last 10
0%

Goal timing

Aarhus · last 5 at home

0–15 29%
16–30 0%
31–45 43%
46–60 0%
61–75 14%
76–90 14%

Sonderjyske · last 5 away

0–15 22%
16–30 0%
31–45 22%
46–60 22%
61–75 11%
76–90 22%
First-half-heavy — over half the goals before the break.

Top scorers

C. McCowatt
AAR · Attacker
3 G · 0.49 g/90
J. Serra
AAR · Attacker
3 G · 0.80 g/90
M. Haidara
SON · Attacker
4 G · 0.47 g/90
M. Jensen
SON · Defender
1 G · 0.49 g/90