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Home › Denmark › Superliga › Aarhus — Sonderjyske

Predictions by Market: Aarhus vs Sonderjyske

Denmark   /   Superliga Value pick inside
Aarhus
Aarhus
Home · last 5 L L D L D
Kick-off
Mon 12 Oct · 17:00
—:—
Pre-match · scheduled
Sonderjyske
Sonderjyske
L L L D W Away · last 5
Vejlby Stadion · Aarhus Referee Mads-Kristoffer Kristoffersen

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · AAR
55%
Best 1.59
Draw
22%
Best 4.50
Away Win · SON
23%
Best 5.25
Value pick
Away Win
@ 4.88
Fair odds
4.32
book 4.88 · +12.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
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Pick confidence
Medium
p 23% · EV +12.9%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (55%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 54.8%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 23.1%
Odds 4.88
Show model details
Implied probability 20.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 22%
Odds 4.33
Show model details
Implied probability 23.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 4 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 47.5%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5 Top pick
Probability 67.8%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 32.2%
Odds 2.22
Show model details
Implied probability 45.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 52.5%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 48.8%
Odds 2.38
Show model details
Implied probability 42%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 51.2%
Odds 1.55
Show model details
Implied probability 64.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 45.2%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 76.9%
Odds 1.18
Show model details
Implied probability 84.8%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
AAR – SON @ 4.88
+12.9%
Edge
Forecast →