Match Falkirk vs Motherwell May 2, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.92 — +14.3% better than the market.

Falkirk hosts Motherwell in a clash where the visitors hold a clear quality edge, backed by a stronger defensive record. Falkirk’s home momentum is moderate, but Motherwell’s ability to absorb pressure and counterattack could be decisive. Expect a tactical battle with limited chances as both sides show signs of defensive solidity.

Motherwell’s defensive resilience challenges Falkirk’s attack.
Home side’s recent form shows some inconsistency.
Match likely to be cagey with under 2.5 goals favored.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.92 ✓ Cashed

AI 60% Implied 52% +0.92u

+92%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

FAL 4-2-3-1 · MOT 4-2-3-1

FAL · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · MOT

16 Stewart

📊 Statistics

FAL 1 – 0 MOT

48%

Possession (%)

52%

1.86

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.06

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

82%

Pass Accuracy (%)

79%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Falkirk beat Motherwell 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.86 to 1.06. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 14, 5 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 5 to 2. For discipline, the referee produced 9 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.86 units (Brier 0.228).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.92	—	60%	Cashed	+0.92	Cashed
Away Win	2.65	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.15	—	54%	Cashed	+1.15	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.95	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.67	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.91	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.57	—	29%	Cashed	+1.57	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.90	—	29%	Cashed	+0.90	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.50	—	71%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.36	—	80%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
Under 0.5	11.00	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.75	—	36%	Cashed	+2.75	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.44	—	56%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.20	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	—	86%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Draw	3.30	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.28	—	64%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−0.86u	−5% ROI