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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Germany Germany Bundesliga FSV Mainz 05 — VfL Wolfsburg

Match FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg January 24, 2026

FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
Home · last 5 D L W L W
Kick-off
Sat 24 Jan · 14:30
3:1
Full-time
VfL Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg
D L W D L Away · last 5
Mewa Arena · Mainz Referee Daniel Siebert, Germany
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 67% · book 1.64
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 44% · book 2.37
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 48% · book 2.14
Total goals
4
3 · 1
xG (open play)
4.04 – 0.65
Δ +3.39
Possession
60% – 40%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

VfL Wolfsburg arrive at Mewa Arena with a clear quality edge and a more potent attack, suggesting they could control the game tempo. Mainz’s defensive solidity might be tested by Wolfsburg’s sharper offensive threat, though Mainz’s recent home form shows resilience. The match may lean towards a cautious pace with moderate goal expectations given the balanced recent head-to-head and the odds hinting at a competitive encounter.

  • Wolfsburg’s offensive edge against Mainz’s defense
  • Mainz’s home momentum and compact block
  • Moderate pace suggested by goal market odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

MAI 3-5-2 · WOL 4-2-3-1
Subs used · MAI
65' Mwene ↑ · da Costa
65' Amiri ↑ · Nebel
90' Silas ↑ · Tietz
90' Maloney ↑ · Hollerbach
90+6' Boving ↑ · Jae-Sung
Subs used · WOL
66' Daghim ↑ · Amoura
75' Majer ↑ · Souza
75' Lindstrom ↑ · Wimmer
84' Svanberg ↑ · Gerhardt
84' Shiogai ↑ · Eriksen

📊 Statistics

MAI 31 WOL
60%
Possession (%)
40%
4.04
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.65
20
Total Shots
7
9
Shots on Target
2
5
Shots off Target
3
16
Shots Inside Box
4
15
Corner Kicks
1
1
Offsides
0
9
Fouls
11
78%
Pass Accuracy (%)
67%
3
Yellow Cards
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match events

19 · 3 – 1
3'
M. Amoura
Assist · S. Kumbedi · 0–1
Stefan Posch
Yellow Card
33'
Half-time · 0 – 1
60'
Patrick Wimmer
Yellow Card
P. Mwene ↓ · D. da Costa ↑
Substitution 1
65'
N. Amiri ↓ · P. Nebel ↑
Substitution 2
65'
66'
A. Daghim ↓ · M. Amoura ↑
Substitution 1
P. Tietz
Assist · N. Amiri · 1–1
68'
70'
Vinícius Souza
Yellow Card
S. Bell
Assist · B. Hollerbach · 2–1
73'
75'
L. Majer ↓ · Vini Souza ↑
Substitution 2
75'
J. Lindstrom ↓ · P. Wimmer ↑
Substitution 3
N. Amiri (P)
Penalty · 3–1
83'
84'
M. Svanberg ↓ · Y. Gerhardt ↑
Substitution 4
84'
K. Shiogai ↓ · C. Eriksen ↑
Substitution 5
Dominik Kohr
Yellow Card
86'
Silas ↓ · P. Tietz ↑
Substitution 3
90'
L. Maloney ↓ · B. Hollerbach ↑
Substitution 4
90'
Stefan Bell
Yellow Card
90+2'
W. Boving ↓ · Lee Jae-Sung ↑
Substitution 5
90+6'
Full-time · 3 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 1.64 67% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.37 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.14 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.83 52% Cashed +0.83 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.24 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.62 56% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
Home Win 2.42 33% Cashed +1.42 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.76 33% Cashed +0.76 Cashed
Away Win 3.08 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.43 59% Cashed +0.43 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.45 69% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.89 31% Cashed +1.89 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.33 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.05 93% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.26 76% Cashed +0.26 Cashed
Under 0.5 13.30 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.60 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −2.74u −16% ROI