P
Prognosist
P
Home World UEFA Champions League Atletico Madrid — Arsenal

Predictions Atletico Madrid vs Arsenal April 29, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Europe   /   UEFA Champions League Value pick inside
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Home · last 5 L W L D L
Kick-off
Wed 29 Apr · 19:00
1:1
Full-time
Arsenal
Arsenal
W D D W D Away · last 5
Referee D. Makkelie
Home Win · ATM
36%
Best 2.94
Draw
28%
Best 3.35
Away Win · ARS
37%
Best 2.65
Value pick
BTTS No
@ 1.91
Fair odds
1.67
book 1.91 · +14.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 60% · EV +14.6%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Best in group
Probability 36.8%
Odds 2.66
Show model details
Implied probability 37.6%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 35.6%
Odds 2.92
Show model details
Implied probability 34.3%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 27.6%
Odds 3.37
Show model details
Implied probability 29.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 67.2%
Odds 1.72
Show model details
Implied probability 58.1%
Bet quality High
Over 2.5
Probability 32.8%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 41.8%
Odds 3.00
Show model details
Implied probability 33.3%
Bet quality Medium
Under 0.5
Probability 21.6%
Odds 8.20
Show model details
Implied probability 12.2%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5 Value pick
Probability 86.4%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality High
Over 1.5
Probability 58.2%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5
Probability 78.4%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 13.6%
Odds 4.05
Show model details
Implied probability 24.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Value pick
Probability 60%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality High
BTTS Yes
Probability 40%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0
Probability 35.6%
Odds 2.06
Show model details
Implied probability 48.5%
Bet quality Low
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 36.8%
Odds 1.89
Show model details
Implied probability 52.9%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 63.2%
Odds 1.54
Show model details
Implied probability 64.9%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 64.4%
Odds 1.46
Show model details
Implied probability 68.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS No
ATM – ARS @ 1.91
+14.6%
Edge
Forecast →