Match Liège vs Lommel United April 27, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Lommel United arrives with clear momentum, having won their last match while Liège struggles with recent form. The away side’s higher points per game and recent victory suggest they hold a tactical edge, likely pressing effectively and exploiting Liège’s defensive vulnerabilities. The odds hint at a moderately open game, but a cautious approach from Liège could keep scoring chances limited.

Lommel’s recent form and away confidence
Liège’s home struggles and defensive gaps
Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

LIE 3-4-3 · KVS 4-4-2

LIE · 3-4-3 4-4-2 · KVS

7 Bruggeman

📊 Statistics

LIE 1 – 2 KVS

68%

Possession (%)

32%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

87%

Pass Accuracy (%)

69%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Lommel United won 2–1 away at Liège. At half-time it was 1–2.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 68% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 87% of their passes. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 15 shots to 11, 2 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 11 to 4. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.14 units (Brier 0.161).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	2.38	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.20	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.67	—	56%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.05	—	44%	Cashed	+1.05	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.65	—	47%	Cashed	+0.65	Cashed
AH Home 0	2.24	—	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.63	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	15.00	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.47	—	74%	Cashed	+0.47	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.50	—	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	3.04	—	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.36	—	68%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.55	—	51%	Cashed	+0.55	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.55	—	44%	Cashed	+0.55	Cashed
Draw	3.70	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.03	—	84%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.20	—	69%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−5.14u	−30% ROI