Match Larisa vs Panserraikos April 26, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 1.66 — +8.3% better than the market.

Larisa holds a slight quality edge and benefits from a modest home advantage, suggesting a controlled approach in this clash. Their defensive solidity contrasts with Panserraikos' moderate offensive threat, hinting at a tactical battle with limited clear-cut chances. Recent form favors the visitors slightly, but Larisa's home momentum and compact block could keep the game tight.

Home defensive resilience vs away attack
Close quality gap with home edge
Moderate pace expected, favoring a cautious game

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No

BTTS No @ 1.66 ✓ Cashed

AI 65% Implied 60% +0.66u

+66%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

AEL 4-1-4-1 · PAN 5-3-2

AEL · 4-1-4-1 5-3-2 · PAN

19 Pasas

📊 Statistics

AEL 0 – 1 PAN

69%

Possession (%)

31%

0.47

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.34

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

85%

Pass Accuracy (%)

65%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Panserraikos won 1–0 away at Larisa. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 69% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 85% of their passes. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 11 shots to 4, 2 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 9 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.06 units (Brier 0.247).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	1.66	—	65%	Cashed	+0.66	Cashed
Under 1.5	2.60	—	46%	Cashed	+1.60	Cashed
Home Win	1.86	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.85	—	43%	Cashed	+0.85	Cashed
BTTS Yes	2.05	—	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.35	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.55	—	70%	Cashed	+0.55	Cashed
Under 0.5	7.25	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.22	—	83%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.44	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.17	—	87%	Cashed	+0.17	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.08	—	80%	Cashed	+0.08	Cashed
Draw	3.33	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.93	—	17%	Cashed	+1.93	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.34	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	4.10	—	17%	Cashed	+3.10	Cashed
Over 3.5	4.53	—	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−0.06u	−0% ROI