Match Bayern München vs FC Augsburg January 24, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS Yes at 2.09 — +11.4% better than the market.

Bayern München enters this clash with strong home momentum, boasting a flawless recent run and a significant quality edge over FC Augsburg. Their potent attack is likely to exploit Augsburg's defensive vulnerabilities, while Augsburg's modest form and limited offensive threat suggest a tough outing. Expect Bayern's high pressing and clinical finishing to dominate, with a probable high-scoring game given the attacking mismatch and favorable pace hinted by the odds.

Bayern's dominant home form and offensive firepower
Augsburg's defensive struggles and inconsistent form
High tempo likely to favor Bayern's pressing style

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS Yes

BTTS Yes @ 2.09 ✓ Cashed

AI 53% Implied 48% +1.09u

+109%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

BAY 4-2-3-1 · AUG 3-4-2-1

BAY · 4-2-3-1 3-4-2-1 · AUG

9 Kane

Subs used · BAY

61'

Kimmich ↑ ·

Davies ↓

61'

Musiala ↑ ·

Karl ↓

79'

Jackson ↑ ·

Goretzka ↓

79'

Bischof ↑ ·

Ito ↓

85'

Chavez ↑ ·

Min-Jae ↓

Subs used · AUG

64'

Essende ↑ ·

Kade ↓

74'

Keitel ↑ ·

Rexhbecaj ↓

74'

Komur ↑ ·

Rieder ↓

85'

Wolf ↑ ·

Chaves ↓

📊 Statistics

BAY 1 – 2 AUG

70%

Possession (%)

30%

1.48

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.94

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

92%

Pass Accuracy (%)

78%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

14 · 1 – 2

H. Ito

Assist · M. Olise · 1–0

⚽

23'

Half-time · 1 – 0

J. Kimmich ↓ · A. Davies ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

61'

J. Musiala ↓ · L. Karl ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

61'

64'

⇄

S. Essende ↓ · A. Kade ↑

Substitution 1

Jonathan Tah

Yellow Card

▮

73'

74'

▮

Elvis Rexhbeçaj

Yellow Card

74'

⇄

Y. Keitel ↓ · E. Rexhbecaj ↑

Substitution 2

74'

⇄

M. Komur ↓ · F. Rieder ↑

Substitution 3

75'

⚽

Arthur Chaves

Assist · M. Komur · 1–1

N. Jackson ↓ · L. Goretzka ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

79'

T. Bischof ↓ · H. Ito ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

79'

81'

⚽

H. Massengo

Assist · D. Giannoulis · 1–2

F. Chavez ↓ · Kim Min-Jae ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

85'

⇄

M. Wolf ↓ · Arthur Chaves ↑

Substitution 4

Full-time · 1 – 2

Match recap

FC Augsburg won 2–1 away at Bayern München. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 70% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 92% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.48 to 0.94. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 9 to 3.

On the scoresheet: H. Ito (23'), Arthur Chaves (75'), H. Massengo (81').

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net +42.79 units (Brier 0.427).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes	2.09	—	53%	Cashed	+1.09	Cashed
Over 3.5	1.67	—	62%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	2.40	—	38%	Cashed	+1.40	Cashed
BTTS No	1.80	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	14.20	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	8.96	—	13%	Cashed	+7.96	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.02	—	97%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.11	—	87%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.02	—	87%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.26	—	80%	Cashed	+0.26	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.08	—	92%	Cashed	+0.08	Cashed
Under 2.5	4.20	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	10.00	—	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	25.00	—	3%	Cashed	+24.00	Cashed
AH Away 0	17.00	—	3%	Cashed	+16.00	Cashed
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	7 W · 8 L	+42.79u	+285% ROI