Match Larisa vs Kifisia April 22, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.62 — +13.2% better than the market.

Kifisia enters this clash with a clear quality edge and better recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand. Larisa's defensive solidity at home could keep things tight, but their lack of offensive firepower may limit goal opportunities. The matchup hints at a cautious tempo with both sides likely to prioritize structure over risk.

Kifisia's stronger attack faces a resilient Larisa defense
Home side's recent struggles contrast with away team's steadier form
Market odds suggest a low-scoring, tactical encounter

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.62 ✓ Cashed

AI 70% Implied 62% +0.62u

+62%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

AEL 5-4-1 · KIF 4-4-2

AEL · 5-4-1 4-4-2 · KIF

29 Tupta

📊 Statistics

AEL 1 – 1 KIF

59%

Possession (%)

41%

0.83

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.66

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

85%

Pass Accuracy (%)

77%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Larisa and Kifisia drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 59% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 85% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.66 to 0.83. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 8 to 4. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.46 units (Brier 0.164).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.62	—	70%	Cashed	+0.62	Cashed
BTTS No	1.80	—	62%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	2.75	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.80	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.15	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.63	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.95	—	38%	Cashed	+0.95	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.42	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.86	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.57	—	71%	Cashed	+0.57	Cashed
Under 0.5	7.50	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.21	—	87%	Cashed	+0.21	Cashed
Draw	3.19	—	28%	Cashed	+2.19	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.45	—	57%	Cashed	+0.45	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.45	—	55%	Cashed	+0.45	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.10	—	82%	Cashed	+0.10	Cashed
Over 3.5	4.60	—	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.46u	−20% ROI