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Home Germany Germany Bundesliga Borussia Dortmund — FC St. Pauli

Predictions Borussia Dortmund vs FC St. Pauli January 17, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
Home · last 5 L W L W W
Kick-off
Sat 17 Jan · 14:30
3:2
Full-time
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
D L L L L Away · last 5
Referee Harm Osmers, Germany
Home Win · DOR
74%
Best 1.29
Draw
19%
Best 5.36
Away Win · PAU
7%
Best 11.25
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 2.28
Fair odds
2.01
book 2.28 · +13.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 50% · EV +13.6%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 73.5%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 19.2%
Odds 5.20
Show model details
Implied probability 19.2%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 7.4%
Odds 10.00
Show model details
Implied probability 10%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 49.8%
Odds 2.28
Show model details
Implied probability 43.9%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 50.2%
Odds 1.77
Show model details
Implied probability 56.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 28.7%
Odds 2.80
Show model details
Implied probability 35.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 71.3%
Odds 1.47
Show model details
Implied probability 68%
Bet quality Medium
Under 1.5
Probability 25.3%
Odds 4.75
Show model details
Implied probability 21.1%
Bet quality Medium
Under 0.5
Probability 7.5%
Odds 15.00
Show model details
Implied probability 6.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.5%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 74.7%
Odds 1.24
Show model details
Implied probability 80.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 56.9%
Odds 1.81
Show model details
Implied probability 55.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 43.1%
Odds 2.09
Show model details
Implied probability 47.9%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 73.5%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 7.4%
Odds 6.80
Show model details
Implied probability 14.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 92.6%
Odds 1.09
Show model details
Implied probability 91.7%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2
Probability 26.5%
Odds 3.31
Show model details
Implied probability 30.2%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.