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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Germany Germany Bundesliga Borussia Dortmund — FC St. Pauli

Match Borussia Dortmund vs FC St. Pauli January 17, 2026

Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
Home · last 5 L W L W W
Kick-off
Sat 17 Jan · 14:30
3:2
Full-time
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
D L L L L Away · last 5
Referee Harm Osmers, Germany
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 50% · book 2.28
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 57% · book 1.81
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 43% · book 2.09
Total goals
5
3 · 2
xG (open play)
3.09 – 0.54
Δ +2.55
Possession
63% – 37%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Borussia Dortmund enter this clash with clear home momentum, boasting a strong attacking edge against St. Pauli's defense. Their recent form shows resilience and consistency, while St. Pauli struggles to find wins on the road. Dortmund's compact block and pressing intensity should limit St. Pauli's chances, suggesting a controlled game with moderate goal opportunities. The odds hint at a balanced pace, favoring Dortmund's ability to capitalize on set-pieces and quick transitions.

  • Home attacking pressure vs away defensive frailty
  • Superior recent form and home confidence
  • Moderate tempo likely, favoring disciplined play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

DOR 3-4-2-1 · PAU 3-4-2-1
Subs used · DOR
71' Couto ↑ · Ryerson
71' Beier ↑ · Adeyemi
71' Guirassy ↑ · Silva
83' Chukwuemeka ↑ · Brandt
83' Ozcan ↑ · Nmecha
Subs used · PAU
64' Ando ↑ · Dzwigala
64' Oppie ↑ · Ritzka
64' Jones ↑ · Kaars

📊 Statistics

DOR 32 PAU
63%
Possession (%)
37%
3.09
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.54
10
Total Shots
9
6
Shots on Target
5
3
Shots off Target
1
7
Shots Inside Box
7
5
Corner Kicks
5
1
Offsides
2
9
Fouls
11
86%
Pass Accuracy (%)
74%
3
Yellow Cards
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

17 · 3 – 2
Nico Schlotterbeck
Yellow Card
16'
38'
Eric Smith
Yellow Card
Karim Adeyemi
Yellow Card
43'
J. Brandt
Assist · K. Adeyemi · 1–0
45'
Half-time · 1 – 0
K. Adeyemi
Assist · F. Silva · 2–0
54'
62'
J. Sands
Assist · E. Smith · 2–1
64'
T. Ando ↓ · A. Dzwigala ↑
Substitution 1
64'
L. Oppie ↓ · L. Ritzka ↑
Substitution 2
64'
R. Jones ↓ · M. Kaars ↑
Substitution 3
Jobe Bellingham
Yellow Card
69'
Y. Couto ↓ · J. Ryerson ↑
Substitution 1
71'
M. Beier ↓ · K. Adeyemi ↑
Substitution 2
71'
S. Guirassy ↓ · F. Silva ↑
Substitution 3
71'
72'
R. Jones
Assist · E. Smith · 2–2
C. Chukwuemeka ↓ · J. Brandt ↑
Substitution 4
83'
S. Ozcan ↓ · F. Nmecha ↑
Substitution 5
83'
E. Can (P)
Penalty · 3–2
90'
Full-time · 3 – 2

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 2.28 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.81 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 2.09 43% Cashed +1.09 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.77 50% Cashed +0.77 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.80 29% Cashed +1.80 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.47 71% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.40 73% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.75 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.09 93% Cashed +0.09 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.10 73% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
Under 0.5 15.00 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 5.20 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.05 93% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.24 75% Cashed +0.24 Cashed
Double Chance X2 3.31 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 10.00 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 6.80 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −4.46u −26% ROI