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Home › World › UEFA Champions League › Bayern München — Real Madrid

Predictions by Market: Bayern München vs Real Madrid

Europe   /   UEFA Champions League Value pick inside
Bayern München
Bayern München
Home · last 5 W W W L D
Kick-off
Wed 15 Apr · 19:00
4:3
Full-time
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
W W W L L Away · last 5
Referee Slavko Vinčić, Slovenia

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · BAY
58%
Best 1.55
Draw
22%
Best 5.50
Away Win · REA
20%
Best 4.68
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 2.50
Fair odds
2.38
book 2.50 · +10.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 42% · EV +10.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance 1X is more likely (80%), but Double Chance X2 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Draw
Probability 22%
Odds 5.40
Show model details
Implied probability 18.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 58%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.1%
Bet quality High
✓ Away Win
Probability 20%
Odds 4.90
Show model details
Implied probability 20.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 4 markets
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 46%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 54%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 56.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality High
✓ Over 1.5 Top pick
Probability 88%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 91.7%
Bet quality High
BTTS 1 market
✓ BTTS Yes Top pick
Probability 71%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.9%
Bet quality High
Asian Handicap 1 market
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 58%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality High
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 42%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 39.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 80%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality High

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
BAY – REA @ 2.50
+10.0%
Edge
Forecast →