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Home › World › UEFA Champions League › Barcelona — Atletico Madrid

Predictions by Market: Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid

Europe   /   UEFA Champions League Value pick inside
Barcelona
Barcelona
Home · last 5 W D W L W
Kick-off
Wed 08 Apr · 19:00
0:2
Full-time
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
L W L D L Away · last 5
Referee Istvan Kovacs, Romania

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · BAR
58%
Best 1.51
Draw
22%
Best 4.95
Away Win · ATM
20%
Best 5.38
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 2.60
Fair odds
2.38
book 2.60 · +10.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 42% · EV +10.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance 1X is more likely (80%), but Double Chance X2 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 58%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 63.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 22%
Odds 5.20
Show model details
Implied probability 19.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 20%
Odds 5.40
Show model details
Implied probability 18.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 5 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 71%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality High
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 51%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 49%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5 Top pick
Probability 87%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 89.3%
Bet quality High
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 49%
Odds 1.90
Show model details
Implied probability 51.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 29%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Top pick
Probability 67%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 67.6%
Bet quality High
✓ BTTS No
Probability 33%
Odds 2.70
Show model details
Implied probability 37%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 58%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 20%
Odds 4.10
Show model details
Implied probability 24.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 80%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 84%
Bet quality High
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 42%
Odds 2.60
Show model details
Implied probability 39.1%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
BAR – ATM @ 2.60
+10.0%
Edge
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