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Home › World › UEFA Champions League › Paris Saint Germain — Liverpool

Predictions by Market: Paris Saint Germain vs Liverpool

Europe   /   UEFA Champions League Value pick inside
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
Home · last 5 W W W D D
Kick-off
Wed 08 Apr · 19:00
2:0
Full-time
Liverpool
Liverpool
W L W L L Away · last 5
Referee José María Sánchez Martínez, Spain

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · PSG
52%
Best 1.77
Draw
23%
Best 4.18
Away Win · LIV
25%
Best 4.10
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 2.20
Fair odds
2.08
book 2.20 · +10.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 48% · EV +10.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance 1X is more likely (75%), but Double Chance X2 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 52%
Odds 1.90
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 23%
Odds 4.40
Show model details
Implied probability 22.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Away Win
Probability 25%
Odds 4.60
Show model details
Implied probability 21.6%
Bet quality Medium
Totals 5 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 68%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality High
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 46%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5 Top pick
Probability 85%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality High
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 54%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 32%
Odds 2.60
Show model details
Implied probability 38%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Top pick
Probability 66%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 64.1%
Bet quality High
✓ BTTS No
Probability 34%
Odds 2.60
Show model details
Implied probability 39.2%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 52%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 25%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 29%
Bet quality Medium
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 75%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 80.6%
Bet quality High
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 48%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
PSG – LIV @ 2.20
+10.0%
Edge
Forecast →