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Home England Premier League Manchester City — Burnley

Predictions Manchester City vs Burnley September 27, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

Manchester City
Manchester City
Home · last 5 D W W D L
Kick-off
Sat 27 Sep · 14:00
5:1
Full-time
Burnley
Burnley
L L D L D Away · last 5
Etihad Stadium · Manchester Referee Robert Jones, England
Home Win · MCI
81%
Best 1.20
Draw
10%
Best 7.15
Away Win · BUR
5%
Best 14.20
Model pick
Over 2.5
@ 1.44
Fair odds
1.47
book 1.44 · no edge vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
p 68%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 80.5%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 10%
Odds 8.23
Show model details
Implied probability 12.2%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 4.5%
Odds 16.00
Show model details
Implied probability 6.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 1 market
Over 2.5 Top pick
Probability 68%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Medium
Team Totals 2 markets
Home Team Total Over 0.5 Top pick
Probability 85%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Medium
Away Team Total Under 0.5 Value pick
Probability 65%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS 1 market
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 45%
Odds 2.14
Show model details
Implied probability 46.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 1 market
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 80%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.