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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › FC Augsburg — Union Berlin

FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin 1:1: Match Review & Stats

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg
Home · last 5 W D W W L
Kick-off
Thu 15 Jan · 19:30
1:1
Full-time
Union Berlin
Union Berlin
L L D W W Away · last 5
WWK Arena · Augsburg Referee Florian Badstubner, Germany
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 53% · book 1.95 ✗
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 59% · book 1.72 ✓
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 41% · book 2.31 ✗
Total goals
2
1 · 1
xG (open play)
0.54 – 1.71
Δ −1.17
Possession
48% – 52%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 1.54 — +7.9% better than the market.

FC Augsburg hosts Union Berlin in a Bundesliga clash where the visitors hold a clear quality edge. Augsburg's defensive solidity faces a probing Union attack, suggesting tactical battles around compactness and pressing. Recent form favors Augsburg slightly, hinting at home momentum despite Union's stronger overall profile. The match may lean towards a cautious tempo with moderate goal expectations.

  • Augsburg's home defensive resilience vs Union's attacking threat
  • Union's quality advantage and pressing potential
  • Recent form suggests a tight contest with limited goals

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2 @ 1.54 ✓ Cashed
AI 70% Implied 65% +0.54u
+54%
ROI on stake

Lineups

AUG 3-4-2-1 · UNI 3-4-2-1
AUG · 3-4-2-1 3-4-2-1 · UNI 1 Dahmen 40 Banks 31 Schlotterbeck 16 Zesiger 19 Fellhauer 17 Jakić 8 Rexhbeçaj 13 Giannoulis 30 Kade 20 Claude-Maurice ⚽ 38 Gregoritsch 1 Rønnow 5 Doekhi 14 Querfeld 4 Leite 28 Trimmel 8 Khedira 13 Schäfer 39 Köhn 11 Jeong 10 Ansah 7 Burke
Subs used · AUG
63' Massengo ↑ · Rexhbecaj ↓
75' Wolf ↑ · Giannoulis ↓
75' Komur ↑ · Kade ↓
83' Rieder ↑ · Claude-Maurice ↓
83' Essende ↑ · Gregoritsch ↓
Subs used · UNI
64' Kemlein ↑ · Schafer ↓
64' Burcu ↑ · Ansah ↓
64' Ilic ↑ · Burke ↓
82' Kral ↑ · Khedira ↓
82' Ljubicic ↑ · Leite ↓

Statistics

AUG 1 – 1 UNI
48%
Possession (%)
52%
0.54
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.71
9
Total Shots
16
5
Shots on Target
2
4
Shots off Target
7
6
Shots Inside Box
13
3
Corner Kicks
3
1
Offsides
0
9
Fouls
18
79%
Pass Accuracy (%)
80%
1
Yellow Cards
0
1
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

14 · 1 – 1
A. Claude-Maurice
1–0
⚽
45'
Half-time · 1 – 0
Kristijan Jakić
Yellow Card
▮
53'
H. Massengo ↓ · E. Rexhbecaj ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
63'
64'
⇄
A. Kemlein ↓ · A. Schafer ↑
Substitution 1
64'
⇄
L. Burcu ↓ · I. Ansah ↑
Substitution 2
64'
⇄
A. Ilic ↓ · O. Burke ↑
Substitution 3
M. Wolf ↓ · D. Giannoulis ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
75'
M. Komur ↓ · A. Kade ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
75'
82'
⇄
A. Kral ↓ · R. Khedira ↑
Substitution 4
82'
⇄
M. Ljubicic ↓ · D. Leite ↑
Substitution 5
F. Rieder ↓ · A. Claude-Maurice ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
83'
S. Essende ↓ · M. Gregoritsch ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
83'
89'
▮
Derrick Köhn
Red Card
90'
⚽
M. Ljubicic
Assist · A. Ilic · 1–1
Full-time · 1 – 1

Match recap

FC Augsburg and Union Berlin drew 1–1. At half-time it was 1–0.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.71 to 0.54. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 16 shots to 9, 2 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves.

On the scoresheet: A. Claude-Maurice (45'), M. Ljubicic (90'). Derrick Köhn was sent off in the 89' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.34 units (Brier 0.149).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 1.95 — 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.72 — 59% Cashed +0.72 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.31 — 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.94 — 47% Cashed +0.94 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.10 — 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.66 — 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.85 — 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.54 — 70% Cashed +0.54 Cashed
Away Win 3.02 — 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.44 — 58% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.03 — 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.42 — 67% Cashed +0.42 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.25 — 79% Cashed +0.25 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.09 — 89% Cashed +0.09 Cashed
Draw 3.26 — 28% Cashed +2.26 Cashed
Over 3.5 4.40 — 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 8.00 — 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −3.34u −20% ROI
Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
AUG – UNI @ 1.54
+7.9%
Edge
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