P
Prognosist
P
⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Germany Germany Bundesliga Borussia Dortmund — Werder Bremen

Match Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen January 13, 2026

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
Home · last 5 L W L W W
Kick-off
Tue 13 Jan · 19:30
3:0
Full-time
Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen
W D L L L Away · last 5
Referee Daniel Siebert, Germany
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 63% · book 1.78
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 48% · book 2.20
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 52% · book 1.76
Total goals
3
3 · 0
xG (open play)
2.02 – 0.33
Δ +1.69
Possession
46% – 54%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.78 — +12.8% better than the market.

Borussia Dortmund enter this clash with clear home momentum, showing solid form and a strong attacking edge against Werder Bremen's less consistent defense. Dortmund's pressing and compact block should challenge Bremen's offense, which has struggled recently. The pace hints at a moderately open game, with Dortmund likely controlling possession and creating chances.

  • Home advantage with a notable quality gap
  • Strong offensive pressure vs Bremen's defensive vulnerabilities
  • Recent form favors Dortmund's confidence and control

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5
Under 3.5 @ 1.78 ✓ Cashed
AI 63% Implied 56% +0.78u
+78%
ROI on stake

Lineups

DOR 3-4-2-1 · WER 3-4-2-1
Subs used · DOR
46' Can ↑ · Sule
67' Bellingham ↑ · Chukwuemeka
67' Guirassy ↑ · Beier
67' Svensson ↑ · Ryerson
84' Adeyemi ↑ · Silva
Subs used · WER
69' Milosevic ↑ · Grull
81' Deman ↑ · Schmidt
81' Mbangula ↑ · Njinmah
81' Puertas ↑ · Schmid

📊 Statistics

DOR 30 WER
46%
Possession (%)
54%
2.02
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.33
18
Total Shots
5
8
Shots on Target
3
5
Shots off Target
2
14
Shots Inside Box
2
3
Corner Kicks
3
1
Offsides
0
14
Fouls
8
85%
Pass Accuracy (%)
84%
2
Yellow Cards
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

14 · 3 – 0
N. Schlotterbeck
Assist · J. Ryerson · 1–0
11'
Niklas Süle
Yellow Card
22'
Half-time · 1 – 0
E. Can ↓ · N. Sule ↑
Substitution 1
46'
Marcel Sabitzer
Yellow Card
54'
J. Bellingham ↓ · C. Chukwuemeka ↑
Substitution 2
67'
S. Guirassy ↓ · M. Beier ↑
Substitution 3
67'
D. Svensson ↓ · J. Ryerson ↑
Substitution 4
67'
69'
J. Milosevic ↓ · M. Grull ↑
Substitution 1
M. Sabitzer
Assist · F. Nmecha · 2–0
76'
81'
O. Deman ↓ · I. Schmidt ↑
Substitution 2
81'
S. Mbangula ↓ · J. Njinmah ↑
Substitution 3
81'
C. Puertas ↓ · R. Schmid ↑
Substitution 4
S. Guirassy
Assist · J. Bellingham · 3–0
83'
K. Adeyemi ↓ · F. Silva ↑
Substitution 5
84'
Full-time · 3 – 0

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 3.5 1.78 63% Cashed +0.78 Cashed
BTTS No 2.20 48% Cashed +1.20 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.76 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.20 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.88 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.40 74% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Under 1.5 6.50 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.11 92% Cashed +0.11 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.47 58% Cashed +0.47 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.12 74% Cashed +0.12 Cashed
Under 0.5 21.00 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 5.60 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.03 94% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.15 80% Cashed +0.15 Cashed
Double Chance X2 3.31 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 9.00 8% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 6.25 8% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −5.74u −34% ROI
Best bet of the night · Under 3.5
DOR – WER @ 1.78
+12.8%
Edge
Forecast →