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Home › World › UEFA Europa League › FC Midtjylland — Nottingham Forest

Predictions by Market: FC Midtjylland vs Nottingham Forest

Europe   /   UEFA Europa League Value pick inside
FC Midtjylland
FC Midtjylland
Home · last 5 W D W W L
Kick-off
Thu 19 Mar · 17:45
1:2
Full-time
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
W D W W L Away · last 5
Referee Felix Zwayer, Germany

Outcome probabilities

VALUE
Home Win · MID
56%
Best 2.92
Draw
24%
Best 3.45
Away Win · NOT
20%
Best 2.30
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 3.00
Fair odds
2.63
book 3.00 · +14.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 38% · EV +14.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 3.5 is more likely (62%), but Over 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Value pick
Probability 56%
Odds 3.64
Show model details
Implied probability 27.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 24%
Odds 3.80
Show model details
Implied probability 26.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 20%
Odds 2.17
Show model details
Implied probability 46.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 7 markets
✓ Over 2.5 Value pick
Probability 61%
Odds 1.84
Show model details
Implied probability 54.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 3.5 Value pick
Probability 38%
Odds 3.00
Show model details
Implied probability 33.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 78%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.4%
Bet quality High
✓ Over 0.5 Top pick
Probability 93%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality High
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 62%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 39%
Odds 2.11
Show model details
Implied probability 47.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 22%
Odds 4.10
Show model details
Implied probability 24.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Top pick
Probability 66%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS No
Probability 34%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.5%
Bet quality Medium
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Value pick
Probability 56%
Odds 2.61
Show model details
Implied probability 38.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 20%
Odds 1.51
Show model details
Implied probability 66.2%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Value pick
Probability 80%
Odds 1.82
Show model details
Implied probability 54.9%
Bet quality High
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 44%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
MID – NOT @ 3.00
+14.0%
Edge
Forecast →